
The SPY(SPDR S&P500 ETF) is Trending Downward (minus 3.54 Week-over-Week)- for the Week ending 07/15/2022
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The SPY(SPDR S&P500 ETF) is Trending Downward (minus 3.54 Week-over-Week)- for the Week ending 07/15/2022
Paid Sub: NEVER miss an issue! Get EVERY ISSUE: To include: FOMO ETF/Stock Picks & DD Sources!
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Our proprietary market also forecasts the following trends (Risk-on or Risk-off) for the week ending 07/22/2022:
Full Disclosure:
An analysis published is not investment advice!
I am not an investment advisor. Any financial information is for educational purposes only – NOT investment advice!
The SPY(SPDR S&P500 ETF) is Trending Upward (plus 7,43 Week-over-Week)- for the Week ending 07/08/2022
Risk-on (Bullish):
These metrics are Risk-on(bullish) for the next week:
None of my metrics indicate a bullish future for the week ending 7/22/2022! Bears rule!
Volatility is still with us – be forewarned!
The global hyperinflation, the global supply chain dislocations, and of course – the war -- all of these negative factors are certainly not helpful for the bulls’ case.
Risk-off (Bearish):
QQQ, VIX, VVIX, SPY
VIX-SPY Variance-Correlation, WTI - Crude
Copper
A cautionary note to keep in mind (IMHO we are not yet seeing a confirmed bottom in the market – could be a LONG way off- with the operative word being LONG!) - as Doug Casey said in a recent interview - we are in a chaotic period in global markets.
Conclusion:
For next week, the algo indicates that the Bears are in control.
Some say we are entering a global depression – not so much a recession. What do YOU think?
Doug Casey opines that we are indeed headed to the big “D”! He forecasts a bond market collapse and a stock market crash. He recommends intermediate-size oil companies. NOT the big ones!
Casey likes uranium stocks as well. He says he is long uranium stocks.
Interestingly, he likes the Uzbekistan stock market. I would NOT recommend investing there – unless you do your extensive due diligence. He mentioned it would be sort of a “lotto play” – Very risky!
IMHO I do not think we have seen the bottom – I always like to see at least a 3 week period in which the market is in a bull trend. Even then, the market can still sustain a bull trap or a so-called head fake for a prolonged period. Be careful in trading for the next one to two weeks!
I am tracking the weekly price movement of QQQ during 2022:
So, Moving forward, QQQ was a hypothetical “Buy” on 01/03/2020 at $401.68. IMHO this correction of QQQ remains in an indefinite period of profound weakness! No sign of a definitive bottom from this point moving forward!
Each week, I indicate the profit or loss, based on this (pretend) entry point. Let’s see where it ends up at the end of 2022!
As of 07/15/2022, this hypothetical trade shows a loss of $ 109.81 (QQQ was $2951.87 at the close on 07/15/2022).
Reminder: Daniel Riley –Mr. TopStep:
https://mrtopstep.com
provides daily updates on the markets: His website & free email newsletter are a MUST!!! —Patrick
Swing-Trading:
I am illustrating the P/L (Profit/Loss) results of Ed Barsano’s also in a paper-trading acct
Check out my P&L at this link – using Ed Barsano’s free Algo- no software to download: Just set up an account at TDAmeritrade- I Love the algo!
Here is the link:
https://gobabytrade.com/gobabytrade_b0c29d35_0
Email Ed Barsano if you have any questions:
As of market close on 07/15/2022 - All data is USD!
Initial equity in the paper account: USD 7000.00
Stock Price Shares Total Profit/Loss (pending & completed trades‘ results)
RUN 23.55 121 -957.52
NVDA 157.65 17 -536.37
PAAS 18.27 132 -152.34
Commentary for 07/15/2022:
I am indebted to Robin Horsfall’s compelling and timely articles- originally published on LinkedIn! One of these follows- very “spot-on::
Ukraine says it can produce a one million man army.
To create a one million man army there is a requirement for a million uniforms, a million pairs of boot, a million beds, a million tons of food, a million weapons and a hundred million rounds of ammunition. Then the recruits have to be trained to become soldiers by ten thousand instructors and so it goes on.
Ukraine has a million men but it doesn't have a 'million man army'. Ukraine has an army of about one hundred and fifty thousand trained men who are operating very well under great pressure. They are taking casualties that need to be replaced and reserves to give rest to troops returning from the front. Thousands of their troops are being trained to use advanced technology in the UK so they can return to the battle with renewed strength and abilities.
Ukraine has halted the Russian advance with ferocious courage and materiel support from the west. That materiel support is limited because apart from the USA, European nations did not hold large emergency war stocks. In fact they had reduced their military capacity far enough for Russia to become emboldened.
For Ukraine to maintain its current army will require all the logistical support that is available. To increase it, would mean to place manufacturing on a war footing. 100,000,000 rounds of rifle ammunition is not a lot in the big picture.
Fortunately, Russia has similar problems and does not have as much external support. An army requires a lot more than men to claim the title 'Army'.
There is a lull at the moment while both sides recover and prepare for whatever comes next. We know Ukraine's army is superior in morale. It is also becoming superior in artillery but the next phase will rely most heavily on logistics.
Slava Ukraine!
Who Dares Shares.
Robin Horsfall
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I found this excerpt from The Financial Times (Swamp Notes) to be most prescient of what is- what will be and what it means for everyone on the planet--- IMHO it is indeed the “shadow of things to come”:
Source:
FYI: I comment on the “real-time” geopolitical blog posts I create for my Reddit “EndUkrainian Genocide” community:
The purpose of the Reddit community is to provide “real-time” updates on geopolitical events occurring worldwide AND connect peace activists and community organizers worldwide to share their journey: Together we CAN climb that mountain!
***************************** -------- *****************************
On to the “Main Event”:
I post the URL for each news item I share in my REDDIT blog post - if you want to do a deep dive into the source material.
Not the most “elegant” and detailed way of commenting, but as your time is valuable, I try to be as succinct as possible in my comments! - Patrick
Here are the major “real-time” news items I comment on for this past week:
Repeated- This is timeless AND priceless information:
4/18/22: Doug Casey: the world is headed for chaos and radical change
URL --- MUST View (recurring- as this is most prescient):
Links to impactful geopolitical events- that you should know about:
I published this on 6/3/22:
Benefits Of Hydrogen Peroxide On Plants And In Your Garden-Hydrogen Peroxide And Plants?
Yes, H2O2 has many benefits in your garden ranging from a disinfectant for garden tools and pots and work areas, to an anti-fungal and pest control powerhouse spray. Its uses……: MORE here:
It's gonna get ugly- Real Soon- Russia/Iran/China are noiw prepositioning their military troops on our southern border! R ready for the ?"occupiers"?Russia is releasing their prisoners to volunteer to join military, after 6 mo they are pardoned. We need to do that. We have about a million ...MORE!
NATO and U.S. admit MASSIVE theft of weapons and billions of dollars sent to stop Putin 78,530 views --- Ukraine's weapons smuggling - why is there no accounting- where is the investigation? Massive fraud alleged- weapons going into Europe's black market?
Gravitas Live: 300,000+ soldiers to defend east Europe | US, UK, Germany bolster NATO's defences 483,931 views - More!
Gravitas Live: 300,000+ soldiers to defend east Europe | US, UK, Germany bolster NATO's defences 483,931 views - More!
Is there a plan to bring down the US Military?- US Military is short MANY recruits who wants to join- and then go to war? - Military INSIDER JUST Warned Me of SOMETHING HUGE... PREP NOW! 21,280 views - Jul 14, 2022 - Will the draft be activated?
WATCH THIS NOW. WHAT HAPPENS NEXT WILL DETERMINE YOUR SURVIVAL. 2,315 views - Jul 15, 2022 Prime Ministers of world governments- resigning- Sri Lanka is the tip of the iceberg- The worst is yet to come!- Are you ready? - List of countries that are "on the precipice"
The Greater DEPRESSION has begun!-Doug Casey, founder of Casey Research, joins Small Caps to share his views on what's taking place in the world, financial markets, where opportunity may be for investors and what we might see next. POSTED: 071522
Inflation Protests- Breaking! - Updates from around the world and important news for preppers and those concernedw the food shortages. - Food Riots, Recession, and Inflation Out Of Control Chinese economy teetering on the "edge" of extreme volatiliy - aka "collapse" Banks/Finance System imploding?
Ww3 has arrived. Russian hackers have potentially hacked another liquid natural gas pipeline. World war three is closer than ever as attacks on facilities inside Russia and the united states escalate. World war 3 could start and increase the chances of nuclear weapons being used. Prep for shtf now
071322:Breaking-Natl Guard unit-member-Unconfirmed- Alleged large number of Natl Guard troops2deploy to Germany/Poland- to function as INDEPENDENT BRIGADE!- This is VERY-Concerning- IF True!//Russia allegedly recruiting convicts/prisoners2fight in Ukraine- murderers/rapists are included!UNCONFIRMED
What "They" do NOT want you to know- The plan to significantly reduce the population of the planet- SOON - - - Food Shortages Are The POINT | Empty Shelves To Empty The World of its food supply! The US VP says we should eat MEALWORMS -which eat--- wheat!
******** END *************
More breaking news on my Reddit EndUkrainianGenocideNow Community!
Join now to keep up with events – as they happen! - - - Patrick
Go here:
Stay tuned for the next issue!
Another source of news and commentary that I follow and recommend is the one authored/published by Elaine Supkis- The Culture of Life News—Highly recommended:
https://emsnews.wordpress.com/
Thank you for following my MAG Commentary!
Patrick
Headhunting for an experienced freelance SEO content writer for your business? Here’s my profile:
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Let’s jump on a call soon! - Patrick
In closing – last but not least:
Glory to Ukraine:
🇺🇦 Epic Orchestral Anthem of Ukraine - "Ще не вмерла України і слава, і воля" [English Translation]
51,811 views
Mar 2, 2022
4/22/19- 2,869,274 views on YouTube-Official HD Promo Video for Pet Shop Boys' fantastic single 'Go West'. Taken from the Pop Art Best - Parody of Russia-China ideology: Glory to Ukraine!
Time Out! Time to break from all this killing and war - Take a break and enjoy some beats; 1 hour of Pet Shop Boys Greatest Hits - Full Album 2022 - Best Songs Of Pet Shop Boys --- If music isn't your thing-- Grab some Tequila or some other "diversion" from the grind of everyday reality!
Not subscribed to my free Market Algo Newsletter?
Go here for the URL to sign up today - It IS free:
I publish a FREE weekly newsletter on Substack: The Market Algo Newsletter – It forecasts the direction of the S&P 500 market - index for the upcoming week -
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** And now for Everything Else- or as Paul Harvey says: And now for the rest of the story”… aka - Ads. Promotions and MORE! ****
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BTW I made the initial introduction (and created a pitch deck) between a stealth nanomanufacturing startup founder/CEO and a group of investors – the $10M - $20M raise should close soon!
I am available to make similar introductions for YOUR startup/mature company as well!
--- Patrick
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*** ***
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Investment Risks
Investments in Cryptocurrencies and Stocks can lead to a loss of money over short or even long periods. Investors in Cryptocurrencies and Stocks should expect prices to have large range fluctuations. The information published on the GoBabyTrade website cannot guarantee that investors in Cryptocurrencies and Stocks will not lose money.
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The 2 video links above explain “all you need to know” about how you can potentially make profits- consistently – with this one-of-a-kind crypto trading also! – Patrick OConnell
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Ed kindly shared this info on June 10th – FYI- NOT investment advice of course:
The goal of this video is to identify coins that can yield the highest percentage return during a crypto market recovery.
Thank you!
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https://Crypto.GoBabyTrade.com
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Investment Risks
Investments in Cryptocurrencies and Stocks can lead to a loss of money over short or even long periods. Investors in Cryptocurrencies and Stocks should expect prices to have large range fluctuations. The information published on the GoBabyTrade website cannot guarantee that investors in Cryptocurrencies and Stocks will not lose money.
Saint Michael Technologies, LLC.
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***---***
IF you ever wanted to interview/research “The Rich and Famous” OR –
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Thank you in advance for your interest and support. – Patrick
***===***
Important Note - to everyone:
I have a source (President/CEO of a US nationwide Truckers Association for Women) – who has kindly offered caseloads of dolls – to be donated to NGOs and/or Ukrainian Resettlement organizations. Scientific research has indicated that “doll therapy” and children/the elderly can benefit in many ways by “bonding” with a stuffed animal or a doll./
I am open to anyone that has a serious interest in this generous offer (10 dolls to a case) – to DM me. We can hop on a call (Tuesday-Friday: 10 am Mountain Time – 4:00 pm Mountain Time) to discuss/provide contact information.
“First come – first serve” as they say, or “You snooze – you lose”.
Supply may be limited.
May I hear from you soon? - Patrick (LinkedIn ID - azpat0)
You can contact me through my profile as well:
https://protectmykid.us
Patrick OConnell
***===***
I have joined an awesome YouTube group - “UkraineNow” – I shall share links to some of our 3 times per week meetups in The MAG Commentary - check this group out by inputting “UkraineNow Community Meeting” in YouTube’s search link.
***---***
FYI:
I have contacts worldwide that subscribe to my MAG Commentary NL (Market Forecasts & Geopolitical Commentaries" and my Substack Market Algo NL:
--- Patrick
***---***
NOTE: I am currently working as a copywriter for:
https://thecommUNITYGridNetwork.com
I shall include a few links in each MAG Commentary newsletter with the focus on: “Homesteading & Sustainable Agriculture” Videos. IMHO this may be appropriate, given the current volatility in the economic, geopolitical, and ongoing volatility of global ecosystems, and cultural transformations/upheavals.
***---***
You are welcome to join (free) The CommUNITY Grid Network:
The Network connects, promotes, and evolves
Heart-centered farms, ranches, retreats, and wellness centers in the United States, Canada, and Mexico.
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to create opportunities for people to connect with Nature at its vetted network of heart-centered farms, ranches, retreats, and wellness centers.
Simultaneously, the Network supports your destinations with customized workforce, wellness and agritourism strategies to make a sustainable living doing what you love.
--- Patrick
Link to The MAG Commentary (free weekly subscription):
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They have a paid plan on Substack- only $9 per month:
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They have samples of their newsletter posts on Substack, along with links to other newsletters they offer:
I plan to subscribe to their newsletter, with funds from my paid subscribers here at The Market Algo NL.
Disclosure: Cestrian Capital Research, Inc staff personal accounts hold long positions in, inter alia, TQQQ, NFLX, T, LHX, NET, DOCU.
You’re a free subscriber to Cestrian Tech Select. For the full experience, become a paid subscriber.
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The following information is for Paid Subscribers to The Market Algo Newsletter only:
FOMO List and DD Sources (at the bottom of this newsletter for paid subscribers only)
Please read the FULL DISCLOSURE notice at the very top of every issue of The Market Algo Newsletter (NL)!
For paid subscribers:
My list (not inclusive) of my Due Diligence (DD) sources follows Only available to Paid Subscribers!
https://finance.yahoo.com
https://koyfin.com
https://americanbulls.com
https://stocktwits.com
https://barchart.com
https://macroaxis.com
https://armrreport.com/
https://finviz.com
https://themarketanalysts.com/
FULL DISCLOSURE: I subscribe to:
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https://howardlindzon.com
My FOMO List – I am NOT an investment advisor – NOT investment advice! Do your own DD!
Symbol Quantity I own Avg Price Remarks (may not be any remarks)
AOSL 10 59.93 Alpha & Omega Semiconductor Ltd = Semi stock
ASML 8 733.95 ASML Holding N.V. - semiconductor equipment systems - VERY LONG TERM HOLDING!
BABA 2 126.00 Alibaba Group Holding Ltd
BLDR 5 64.80 Builders FIrstSource, Inc
CORN 5 22.70 Teucrium Corn Fund
DBA 5 20.16 Invesco DB Agricultural Fund
DVN 5 51.00 Devon Energy Corporation (pays a Dividend)
ESTE 100 13.20 Earthstone Energy, Inc - VERY Volatile!!!
KRBN 5 51.70 KraneShares Global Carbon ETF - carbon Credits ETF
NVDA 12 312.83 Nvidia Corporation - volatile!
ON 13 70.08 ON Semiconductor Corporation = semi stock
PDCE 5 59.80 PDC Energy, Inc - energy
RJA 5 8.93 ELEMENTS-linked2Rogers Intl Commodity Index - Agricultural Total Return