The SPY(SPDR… S&P500 ETF)… is Trending DOWNWARD, MINUS 18.28 for the week ending 03/10/2023
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The Market Algo Newsletter: 03/12/23
The SPY(SPDR… S&P500 ETF)… is Trending DOWNWARD, MINUS 18.28 for the week ending 03/10/2023
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The SPY(SPDR, S&P500 ETF), is Trending Downward, MINUS 18.28 for the past week ending on 03/10/2023.
In our opinion – not investment advice – next week will be epic- and NOT in a good way! Be Aware – Be Awesome –
To not miss out on the rapid changes in market trends – subscribe to out YouTube channel!
For the upcoming trading week, ending on 03/17/2023, our proprietary algo forecasts the following potential trend for each of the following metrics – either Bullish or Bearish:
VIX index: Bearish,
VVIX index: Bearish,
SPY index: Extremely Bearish,
West Texas Intermediate – Crude Oil: Bearish!
QQQ: Bearish,
Copper: Bearish,
And of course, the VIX – SPY Correlation Variance” Bearish!
So what? So, our conclusion for the week ahead is that – Surprise-Surprise - our algo indicates that the Bears – once again – are in overwhelming control for the week ahead!
Swing traders and day traders will make money – the traders that are not nimble will be crushed, in our opinion!
For the past few months, we have been saying that we are entering a global depression, not so much a recession! Dan – at iAllegedly – on his YouTube channel - is sharing that the “D” word may be more likely than a mere recession!
What do YOU think?
We agree with other analysts, that the equity markets are completely disconnected from the reality of the collapsing economies of many countries around the planet!
When we have a bullish week as we experience – intermittently – during this epic bear market - it demonstrates - that Wall Street is oblivious to the pain being felt by Main Street! Indeed – this disconnect between Wall Street and Main Street is growing – a LOT!
We continue to think – that when a rally occurs – that it is nothing more than just another sucker’s bull rally in the ongoing bear market!
We do not think we have seen the bottom.
Keep in mind, Volatility is still very much with us!
Indeed, The Bear Market is still very much with us!
We always like to see at least a 3, or greater week period in which the market is in a bull trend before we can determine a potential bottom for the market
Be careful in trading for the next one to three weeks, – AND MORE!
It’s a jungle out there!
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More details – and:
Our Full Disclosure:
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We are not investment advisors!
Any financial information is for educational purposes only, not investment advice!
The global hyperinflation, the global supply chain dislocations, and of course… global drought, plus the “wars,” (take your pick: …Ukraine, Russia, China),…all of these negative factors are certainly not helpful for the bulls’ case!
Please note, Concerning our “VIX, SPY correlation-variance ” metric,
IF the VIX is trending DOWN. And the SPY is trending UP, for the most recent week of trading…then and only then will our VIX, SPY correlation-variance algo indicate a potential Risk-on, (Bullish) trend,… for the upcoming week,…
This indication of a potential Bullish trend, however, only happens,…currently,…on a very infrequent basis!...
As Doug Casey said in a recent interview, we are in a chaotic period in global markets!…
One analyst shared that bear markets may have 7 bull runs during the course of a bear market.
The most recent sucker rally would possibly be bull run number 4!
We may have 3 more bull runs to go before the bear market has run its course.
Reminder:
Daniel Riley –Mr.TopStep:
https://mrtopstep.com
provides daily updates on the markets:
His website & free email newsletter are a MUST!!! —Patrick
Commentary for 03/10/2023:
I am indebted to Robin Horsfall’s compelling and timely articles- originally published on LinkedIn!
Robin HorsfallView Robin Horsfall’s profile
Former SAS Soldier. Writer, Veterans Campaigner and Public Speaker. Operations Nimrod and Mikado
Published on LinkedIn: 030823
Robin HorsfallView Robin Horsfall’s profile
• 2nd
Former SAS Soldier. Writer, Veterans Campaigner and Public Speaker. Operations Nimrod and Mikado
4d •
There are only two ways to end the war quickly.
Leaders in the west will all agree that the war in Ukraine should come to an end as quickly as possible. What is disconcerting is that many leaders, including former military leaders, are starting to sell the idea that surrendering part of Ukraine (Crimea) will be necessary to obtain peace. The 2014 Russian invasion of Crimea is an earlier example of the west doing too little (or nothing) too late. Taking back one's land from invaders is not a deal to be negotiated by surrendering land.
Some might argue that negotiating with something you don't actually possess anymore, like Crimea is 'real politic'. It isn't real anything, and it certainly isn't the place of those nations who are not fighting and dying to decide what should and should not be sacrificed in the name of peace.
Only Ukraine should decide what can and can't be fought for. Yes, we supply arms, yes we pay, but we do not simply pay out of a sense of decency, we also pay for Ukraine to fight so that we won't have to.
There are only two ways to end this war quickly. The first is for Ukraine to surrender and the second is to defeat Russia as quickly and directly as possible. Anything other than those two options will extend the war indefinitely and any 'peace; that is made will be short lived.
Putin believed that that Ukraine and the western democracies were too weak to resist him, he was wrong on both counts - but only just. His three day, special military operation has lasted a year, it has cost perhaps as many as a quarter million lives and it continues.
The pressure from the west must be ratcheted up. There should be no question of selling Ukraine short. Russia must be defeated in Ukraine, if it isn't NATO will have to defeat it in Poland, Latvia, Moldova, Hungary, Finland and Norway (amongst others).
To those who think they can be clever and reasonable with tyrants, I recommend that they think again. The only quick way to end war in Ukraine is to defeat Russia - as quickly as possible. That is real politic!
Slava Ukraini!
Who Dares Shares
Robin Horsfall
Map of Ukraine- credit: Robin Horsfall- 08/08/2022:
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FYI: I comment on the “real-time” geopolitical blog posts I create for my Reddit “EndUkrainian Genocide” community:
The purpose of the Reddit community is to provide “real-time” updates on geopolitical events occurring worldwide AND connect peace activists and community organizers worldwide to share their journey: Together we CAN climb that mountain!
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On to the “Main Event”:
I post the URL for each news item I share in my REDDIT blog post - if you want to do a deep dive into the source material.
Not the most “elegant” and detailed way of commenting, but as your time is valuable, I try to be as succinct as possible in my comments! - Patrick
Here are the major “real-time” news items I comment on for this past week:
New stuff:
This is the Start of the Bank Crash
https://www.reddit.com/r/EndUkrainianGenocide/comments/11pllaw/this_is_the_start_of_the_bank_crash/
The Banking Crisis JUST got EVEN Worse | Fed, Bank, & Crypto Collapse [SVB]
Monday Morning will be Epic- and NOT in a good way! Next week? Fasten ur SeatBelts- Bank runs coming?-BREAKING NEWS! Bank Runs SPREADING LONG LINE UP's, US Nuclear BOMBERS Near Russian CITIES/ DEFCON 2
10:21 / 33:10 BREAKING: Bank Runs Begin, System Collapsing, Emergency NUKE ALERT to MILLIONS, Tension Rising
Shocking Changes To Bank Rules | Extremely URGENT Warning
LIVE! Watch For Bank Failure Contagion As Systemic Meltdown Worsens. Mannarino
Clayton Morris: The U.S. should be ASHAMED of what they're doing in Syria
Yikes | The Bears are Doubling Down on a Dangerous CRASH
LIVE Stocks Get HIT. Watch For WEAPONIZING Of Supply Chains, Food, Water, Basic Necessities.
************ END *************
More breaking news is posted on my Reddit EndUkrainianGenocideNow Community!
Join now to keep up with events – as they happen! - - - Patrick
Go here:
Stay tuned for the next issue!
Another source of news and commentary that I follow and recommend is the one authored/published by Elaine Supkis- The Culture of Life News—Highly recommended:
https://emsnews.wordpress.com/
Patrick
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Symbol Quantity I own Avg Price Remarks (may not be any remarks)
AOSL 10 59.93 Alpha & Omega Semiconductor Ltd = Semi stock
ASML 8 733.95 ASML Holding N.V. - semiconductor equipment systems - VERY LONG TERM HOLDING!
BABA 2 126.00 Alibaba Group Holding Ltd
BLDR 5 64.80 Builders FIrstSource, Inc
CORN 5 22.70 Teucrium Corn Fund
DBA 5 20.16 Invesco DB Agricultural Fund
DVN 5 51.00 Devon Energy Corporation (pays a Dividend)
ESTE 100 13.20 Earthstone Energy, Inc - VERY Volatile!!!
KRBN 5 51.70 KraneShares Global Carbon ETF - carbon Credits ETF
NVDA 12 312.83 Nvidia Corporation - volatile!
ON 13 70.08 ON Semiconductor Corporation = semi stock
PDCE 5 59.80 PDC Energy, Inc - energy
RJA 5 8.93 ELEMENTS-linked2Rogers Intl Commodity Index - Agricultural Total Return
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Patrick OConnell
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