The SPY(SPDR S&P500 ETF) is Trending Upward +16.90 for the week ending 07/29/2022
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The SPY(SPDR S&P500 ETF) is Trending Upward +16.90 for the week ending 07/29/2022
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Our proprietary market also forecasts the following trends (Risk-on or Risk-off) for the week ending 08/05/22:
Full Disclosure:
An analysis published is not investment advice!
I am not an investment advisor. Any financial information is for educational purposes only – NOT investment advice!
The SPY(SPDR S&P500 ETF) is Trending Upward +16.90 for the week ending 07/29/2022
Risk-on (Bullish):
ALL of my metrics are Risk-on(bullish) for the next week – through 08/05/2022:
IMHO – I say- yet again - we may be witnessing a “Bull Trap” – just my opinion- of course. Take a look at the bullish indicators for next week(a typical Bull Trap scenario – IMHO):
Copper, QQQ, VVIX, VIX
SPY, WTI - Crude
VIX – SPY Variance-Correlation
Volatility is still with us – be forewarned! MHO The Bear Market is still very much with us!
The global hyperinflation, the global supply chain dislocations, and of course – the war -- all of these negative factors are certainly not helpful for the bulls’ case.
Risk-off (Bearish):
None of my metrics are risk-off for the week ending 08/05/2022.
A cautionary note to keep in mind (IMHO we are not yet seeing a confirmed bottom in the market – could be a LONG way off- with the operative word being LONG!) - as Doug Casey said in a recent interview - we are in a chaotic period in global markets.
Conclusion:
For next week, the algo indicates that the Bulls – at least momentarily - are in control.
Some say we are entering a global depression – not so much a recession. What do YOU think?
Doug Casey opines that we are indeed headed to the big “D”! He forecasts a bond market collapse and a stock market crash. He recommends intermediate-size oil companies. NOT the big ones!
Casey likes uranium stocks as well. He says he is long uranium stocks.
Interestingly, he likes the Uzbekistan stock market. I would NOT recommend investing there – unless you do your extensive due diligence. He mentioned it would be sort of a “lotto play” – Very risky!
IMHO I do not think we have seen the bottom – I always like to see at least a 3 week period in which the market is in a bull trend. Even then, the market can still sustain a bull trap or a so-called head fake for a prolonged period. Be careful in trading for the next one to two weeks!
I am tracking the weekly price movement of QQQ during 2022:
So, Moving forward, QQQ was a hypothetical “Buy” on 01/03/2020 at $401.68. IMHO this correction of QQQ remains in an indefinite period of profound weakness! No sign of a definitive bottom from this point moving forward!
Each week, I indicate the profit or loss, based on this (pretend) entry point. Let’s see where it ends up at the end of 2022!
As of 07/29/2022, this hypothetical trade shows a loss of - $86.22 (QQQ was $315.46 at the close on 07/92/2022).
Reminder: Daniel Riley –Mr. TopStep:
https://mrtopstep.com
provides daily updates on the markets: His website & free email newsletter are a MUST!!! —Patrick
Swing-Trading:
I am illustrating the P/L (Profit/Loss) results of Ed Barsano’s also in a paper-trading acct
Check out my P&L at this link – using Ed Barsano’s free Algo- no software to download: Just set up an account at TDAmeritrade- I Love the algo!
Here is the link:
https://gobabytrade.com/gobabytrade_b0c29d35_0
Email Ed Barsano if you have any questions:
As of market close on 07/22/2022 - All data is USD!
Initial equity in the paper account: USD 7000.00
Stock Price Shares Total Profit/Loss (pending & completed trades‘ results)
RUN 32.73 11 -88.53
NVDA 181.72 10 -190.72
PAAS 20.35 132 +122.32
Commentary for 07/29/2022:
I am indebted to Robin Horsfall’s compelling and timely articles- originally published on LinkedIn! One of these follows- very “spot-on::
Published on LinkedIn – 07/24/2022:
Ukraine. Surrender or Victory?
Russia has humiliated Antonio Guterres, the Secretary General of the UN, and also made President Erdogan of Turkey look seriously naive. Within hours of Russia signing an agreement not to attack Ukraine's shipping ports and allow grain ships to leave port, Russia fired four missiles at Odesa.
Such a betrayal should have been expected. Warnings were written clearly by similar treatment of Macron and Scholz earlier in the year.
It is simple to know when Putin is lying, his mouth opens and noise comes out. Putin does not respect anything except raw power. There are two ways to end the war in Ukraine, - surrender or victory.
After this humiliating, political failure it is time for the UN to put all of its efforts into supporting a Ukrainian victory. The world must take a strong position and set out to force a Russian withdrawal from Ukraine with every resource that can be mustered, - political, economic and military.
Putin will not negotiate except to create delay or confusion. He will sacrifice all of his troops and destroy all of Ukraine to win. The time for talking has passed until Putin is forced to his knees. The jaw-jaw is not working it is simply embarrassing the peacemakers.
So, what's it to be, surrender or victory?
Slava Ukraine!
Who Dares Shares
Robin Horsfall
Image Description & Credit:
UN Secretary General Antonio Guterres - provided by Robin Horsfall:
I found this excerpt from The Financial Times (Swamp Notes) to be most prescient of what is- what will be and what it means for everyone on the planet--- IMHO it is indeed the “shadow of things to come”:
Source:
FYI: I comment on the “real-time” geopolitical blog posts I create for my Reddit “EndUkrainian Genocide” community:
The purpose of the Reddit community is to provide “real-time” updates on geopolitical events occurring worldwide AND connect peace activists and community organizers worldwide to share their journey: Together we CAN climb that mountain!
***************************** -------- *****************************
On to the “Main Event”:
I post the URL for each news item I share in my REDDIT blog post - if you want to do a deep dive into the source material.
Not the most “elegant” and detailed way of commenting, but as your time is valuable, I try to be as succinct as possible in my comments! - Patrick
Here are the major “real-time” news items I comment on for this past week:
Repeated- This is timeless AND priceless information:
4/18/22: Doug Casey: the world is headed for chaos and radical change
URL --- MUST View (recurring- as this is most prescient):
Links to impactful geopolitical events- that you should know about:
I published this on 6/3/22:
Benefits Of Hydrogen Peroxide On Plants And In Your Garden-Hydrogen Peroxide And Plants?
Yes, H2O2 has many benefits in your garden ranging from a disinfectant for garden tools and pots and work areas, to an anti-fungal and pest control powerhouse spray. Its uses……: MORE here:
It's gonna get ugly- Real Soon- Russia/Iran/China are now prepositioning their military troops on our southern border! R ready for the ?"occupiers"?Russia is releasing their prisoners to volunteer to join military, after 6 mo they are pardoned. We need to do that. We have about a million ...MORE!
NATO and U.S. admit MASSIVE theft of weapons and billions of dollars sent to stop Putin 78,530 views --- Ukraine's weapons smuggling - why is there no accounting- where is the investigation? Massive fraud alleged- weapons going into Europe's black market?
MASSIVE WORLDWIDE CHANGE HAS STARTED. EVERYTHING IS WORSE THAN THEY ARE TELLING US 96,432 views Jul 23, 2022
As the US economy implodes: Investors continue to pile into stocks as the U.S. economy is on the verge of collapse. Two leading indicators are flashing warning signs as initial unemployment claims continue to rise and new orders continue to fall. Jeff, Tracy, & Steve's Research Reports MORE!
NEW STUFF is shared below - Wish I had something OTHER THAN the Doom and Gloom scenarios – but “it is what it is” --- One source predicts civil war in Pakistan within the next 30 days – I hope and pray this is NOT going to manifest. We do NOT need yet another “killing field” – I pray for word peace – yet find there is none to be found- now or in the immediate future. What do YOU think?
We Are Going To See Energy Prices Go Absolutely Nuts This Winter As We Face A Global Economic Crisis
History is repeating itself. Banks are cutting credit lines. People are having their credit card limits cut to $100. Banks are opening up fake accounts to meet sales quotas. Banks are storing money to prepare for the future losses. #CreditLines #Credit cards #BankFines #IAllegedly #USBank #CreditCar
The national guard has been deployed to Washington DC and an indefinite emergency has been declared. Food shortage news and empty shelves May 2022 from across the USA and the world, especially at Walmart. The food shortages are back after a brief restocking and the supply chain continues to collapse
It’s official! We are in a recession. You can rename it anything you want, but the results will be equal the same thing. Businesses are suffering, people are being laid off, people have no extra money and there is no hope to fix this anytime soon #Recession #TheFed #JanetYellen #IAllegedly #JeromePo
HERE WE GO. CHINA WILL SHOOT DOWN PELOSIS PLANE. US NUCLEAR WEAPONS MOVING INTO POSITION 4.1K - China says if Pelosi goes to Taiwan- they will consider THAT as an act of War- Th
2023 will be the next war cycle! - SHTF! This Phone Call Changed EVERYTHING!! PLA posted on social media website- They say that are now preparing for War! PLA says they will shoot down the Speaker of the House's plane! --Really? - Yikes! –
The United States says that it wants to force Mexico to de-privatize its oil and gas industry. That's rich, isn't it? The U.S. pushed for Mexico to privatize its oil and gas industry when Hillary Clinton was Secretary of State but now it wants to break into that because Mexico's oil and gas is not a
Prepare now for what is coming in 2023- The shadow of things to come? - Accuracy rating is almost 100%-MARTIN ARMSTRONG: YOU DON'T UNDERSTAND THE MAGNITUDE OF WHAT'S ABOUT TO HAPPEN in 2023!- 4K AI Socrates software predicts what is to come in 2023!
Alaska Prepper shared:This Video is broken into two parts; the second part is available by clicking this link: https://www.patreon.com/posts/69263224 (You Do Not Have To Join Patreon To View The Second Half Of This Video; It's Free). My RUMBLE Channel: https://rumble.com/user/AlaskaPrepper
The shadow of the anarchy to come? Chaos precedes anarchy- IMHO.
Chaos is temporary – Anarchy is forever- IF there is no law and there is no order – as is now the case in many places on our planet!
--- These things are coming to a neighborhood near you- SOON – IMHO
Link To Mike In The Night In The Odysee Platform; Alaskan Prepper has a talk with Mike about current events and how to prepare for what's coming: https://odysee.com/@MikeMartins:7/mikeinthenight449:7
PREPARE FOR "CHAOS" - WHEN THE EVENT HAPPENS PEOPLE WILL DO THE UNTHINKABLE 62,823 views Jul 24, 2022
The world as we know it is ending and the world that we're going into is not the one we're leaving behind. So then what comes next? That's the topic for today's conversation with Peter Zeihan, Author of "The End of the World is Just the Beginning" and we're going to discuss my thesis, his
MUST WATCH* WORLD WILL ENTER MAJOR WAR CYCLE BY 2023 - THERE'S NOWHERE TO HIDE - CHARLES NENNER
Breaking- They have announced that on a global basis- many governments will collapse- imminent global starvation /no fuel-no food - no global trade-- This is NOT going to be like "2008"- It will be more like the Great Depression- maybe worse IMHO! The Powers That be DO know what's coming!
New York WARNING "Get Your Bugout Bag Ready" 8.4K - Why is Ukraine threatening to attack Russian territory(within Russia's borders- Katie bar the door - IMHO - The Draft WILL be reinstated if this "cold" war goes HOT! – IMHO!
Fertilizer/Food shortages imminent- Mass Starvation coming?- there is no fruit at walmart or no fruit at costco. We all have seen empty shelves at walmart and empty shelves at costco. Empty shelves are at almost every store from supply chain disruptions. Prep for shtf now before its too late. What
Violent anti government protests are taking place ALL around the world! This single policy could end the world as we know it. Now there's something that we have, which is called recency bias...we think that whatever's recent will continue. However, there's triggers. There's events that happened that…
A warning from Farmers, all around the world we have shtf in 2022, farmers are being forced out of their land from drought to restrictions, to inflation of farm needs and all kinds of inflation related crisis's, Billionaires and Government and even China are buying much of American and worldwide far
Is this coming to the US as well? Canadian War On Farming | Food Shortages 2022 1.1K --- Food crisis being raised to a new level! This is war on Canadian farmers- Just the beginning!
Gravitas-Russia&China joint militaryDRILLS- This is BIG!-- Will Russia ditch India for China? - The virus returns to Wuhan: 1 million under lockdown - Imran Khan wins Punjab - Lufthansa Strike: 1000 flights cancelled, 130,000 passengers hit - Fake Reviews: A $152 billion industry #Gravitas #Palki
BUY FOOD AND WATER. CHINA SHOOTING DOWN US AIRCRAFT?
THEY LOCKED DOWN WUHAN AGAIN 13,448 views-Jul 27, 2022 2K - Wuhan now under full lockdown- to be kept locked down- INDEFINITELY! Things getting really bizarre in China- Total Lockdown!
Are we reliving what life was like in Weimar Germany- prior to WW2? – Is history repeating itself. Hitler followed the collapse of the Weimar Republic. Who will the new Monster be- when – not if- this current hyper inflationary era collapses? Who do YOU think will be the new Hitler? T
Thin about it- REALLY think about what is to come: Chaos followed by anarchy cannot end well! – IMHO
Retail stores beginning to NOT price products- prices going up so fast- they canNOT price the stuff.
Deja Vu- remember Weimar Germany? Prices went up by the hour- Is history repeating-itself?
Is the US the new Weimar? I work at a big box store- stuff being repriced -weekly up 10% in some cases! MORE!
Breaking: US Military preparing for conflict with China-IT'S COMING. TROOPS DEPLOYED TO CHINA. REGION UNDER ATTACK. GET MONEY OUT OF THE BANK 10,923 views-Jul 28, 2022 1.6K
35% small business owners- delinquent on their rent in June 022--- Moe! FED KILLING OFF ECONOMY BRACE FOR IMPACT - CANCEL YOUR ESCROW NOW -STOP BUYING dumb STUFF STACK CASh
Your Community - Our Country! Breaking- - - Are you better off now than you were 2 years ago? - WARNING From The Netherlands~Brace for Impact - A letter from a Netherlands farmer- It's happening in Canada now!
Did you get the message? – “Its GO time!”-- Imminent- The “cold” war WILL go hot- asn soon! Will the US Draft be reinstated? US military unable to recruit the number of folks needed to “go to war” – Its gonna get REAL – real soon – and worse! – IMHO! Here We Go... 4 MAJOR CONFLICTS AT ONCE. TOTAL Economic Collapse 8,219 viewsJul 26, 2022 1.1K
CAR REPOS FLOOD THE AUCTION LOTS WE ARE IN A FULL BLOWN COLLAPSE - DO NOT BUY A CAR RIGHT NOW
Leaked info- China preparing for a HOT war? – They are escalating their rhetoric AND getting ready for a hot war! There is tension in the air! China is preparing for something big, the global consequences will be disastrous we discuss the plan in full here.
When – NOT “IF” will the US reinstate the Military Draft? If they do not do this – when the “cold” war goes HOT – it’s Game Over for the US. It is a replay of the ruin-up to WW2- except that now- it seems the lights are 0out in Washington DC- Where is a Winston Churchill when you need him? -
Conscription and drafting folks for military service- has begun in many countries in the West - not just Russia!-
Is the US next? Will Russia annex Transvistia (part of Moldova)next? Romania drafting folks to serve in the military!
Is NATO preparing for all -out war?
Countries around the planet experiencing Total energy blackouts! - We're NEXT... Over 10 Million Without Power RIGHT NOW! 1,887 views - Jul 25, 2022 -The food shortages are back after a brief restocking and the supply chain continues to collapse. Empty shelves at Walmart and food shortages across the U
Worldwide (sabotage?) destruction of food processing plants&storage facilities decimating the world's food supply: Iran, Spain, the US, Ukraine, &many more countries affected! WHO declares Monkey Pox a "pandemic-type" outbreak!- 3-week quarantine! Get the pox- then later on- get the Shingles!
Will Government RAID Our Farms and Food Like The Others? | Farmer’s Rant! 171,306 views-As we hear about Amish raider, we see government not liking farmers who are raising animals… is the government really looking out for us? Truly? Today I just decide to spill it and rant about FOOD SHORTAGE, Fuel.
******** END *************
More breaking news on my Reddit EndUkrainianGenocideNow Community!
Join now to keep up with events – as they happen! - - - Patrick
Go here:
Stay tuned for the next issue!
Another source of news and commentary that I follow and recommend is the one authored/published by Elaine Supkis- The Culture of Life News—Highly recommended:
https://emsnews.wordpress.com/
Thank you for following my MAG Commentary!
Patrick
Headhunting for an experienced freelance SEO content writer for your business? Here’s my profile:
https://protectmykid.us
Let’s jump on a call soon! - Patrick
In closing – last but not least:
Glory to Ukraine:
🇺🇦 Epic Orchestral Anthem of Ukraine - "Ще не вмерла України і слава, і воля" [English Translation]
51,811 views
Mar 2, 2022
4/22/19- 2,869,274 views on YouTube-Official HD Promo Video for Pet Shop Boys' fantastic single 'Go West'. Taken from the Pop Art Best - Parody of Russia-China ideology: Glory to Ukraine!
Time Out! Time to break from all this killing and war - Take a break and enjoy some beats; 1 hour of Pet Shop Boys Greatest Hits - Full Album 2022 - Best Songs Of Pet Shop Boys --- If music isn't your thing-- Grab some Tequila or some other "diversion" from the grind of everyday reality!
Not subscribed to my free Market Algo Newsletter?
Go here for the URL to sign up today - It IS free:
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********************** Break ***********************
** And now for Everything Else- or as Paul Harvey says: And now for the rest of the story”… aka - Ads. Promotions and MORE! ****
My shameless self-promotion:
Headhunting for an experienced freelance SEO content writer for your business? Here’s my profile:
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Let’s jump on a call soon! - Patrick
BTW I made the initial introduction (and created a pitch deck) between a stealth nanomanufacturing startup founder/CEO and a group of investors – the $10M - $20M raise should close soon!
I am available to make similar introductions for YOUR startup/mature company as well!
--- Patrick
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The 2 video links above explain “all you need to know” about how you can potentially make profits- consistently – with this one-of-a-kind crypto trading also! – Patrick OConnell
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Ed kindly shared this info on June 10th – FYI- NOT investment advice of course:
The goal of this video is to identify coins that can yield the highest percentage return during a crypto market recovery.
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Investments in Cryptocurrencies and Stocks can lead to a loss of money over short or even long periods. Investors in Cryptocurrencies and Stocks should expect prices to have large range fluctuations. The information published on the GoBabyTrade website cannot guarantee that investors in Cryptocurrencies and Stocks will not lose money.
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***---***
IF you ever wanted to interview/research “The Rich and Famous” OR –
You have always wondered how you can interview/research an impactful and interesting person – I am now inviting you to steal – as in FREE - my strategy to do these things!
Grab a copy of my “Checklist To Interview/Research Impactful and Interesting People here:
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Thank you in advance for your interest and support. – Patrick
***===***
Important Note - to everyone:
I have a source (President/CEO of a US nationwide Truckers Association for Women) – who has kindly offered caseloads of dolls – to be donated to NGOs and/or Ukrainian Resettlement organizations. Scientific research has indicated that “doll therapy” and children/the elderly can benefit in many ways by “bonding” with a stuffed animal or a doll./
I am open to anyone that has a serious interest in this generous offer (10 dolls to a case) – to DM me. We can hop on a call (Tuesday-Friday: 10 am Mountain Time – 4:00 pm Mountain Time) to discuss/provide contact information.
“First come – first serve” as they say, or “You snooze – you lose”.
Supply may be limited.
May I hear from you soon? - Patrick (LinkedIn ID - azpat0)
You can contact me through my profile as well:
https://protectmykid.us
Patrick OConnell
***===***
I have joined an awesome YouTube group - “UkraineNow” – I shall share links to some of our 3 times per week meetups in The MAG Commentary - check this group out by inputting “UkraineNow Community Meeting” in YouTube’s search link.
***---***
FYI:
I have contacts worldwide that subscribe to my MAG Commentary NL (Market Forecasts & Geopolitical Commentaries" and my Substack Market Algo NL:
--- Patrick
***---***
NOTE: I am currently working as a copywriter for:
https://thecommUNITYGridNetwork.com
I shall include a few links in each MAG Commentary newsletter with the focus on: “Homesteading & Sustainable Agriculture” Videos. IMHO this may be appropriate, given the current volatility in the economic, geopolitical, and ongoing volatility of global ecosystems, and cultural transformations/upheavals.
***---***
You are welcome to join (free) The CommUNITY Grid Network:
The Network connects, promotes, and evolves
Heart-centered farms, ranches, retreats, and wellness centers in the United States, Canada, and Mexico.
The Network’s mission :
to create opportunities for people to connect with Nature at its vetted network of heart-centered farms, ranches, retreats, and wellness centers.
Simultaneously, the Network supports your destinations with customized workforce, wellness and agritourism strategies to make a sustainable living doing what you love.
--- Patrick
Link to The MAG Commentary (free weekly subscription):
https://www.linkedin.com/newsletters/the-mag-commentary-6904287978823188480/
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I also subscribe to The Cestrian Stock Bulletin – free:
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They have a paid plan on Substack- only $9 per month:
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They have samples of their newsletter posts on Substack, along with links to other newsletters they offer:
I plan to subscribe to their newsletter, with funds from my paid subscribers here at The Market Algo NL.
Disclosure: Cestrian Capital Research, Inc staff personal accounts hold long positions in, inter alia, TQQQ, NFLX, T, LHX, NET, DOCU.
You’re a free subscriber to Cestrian Tech Select. For the full experience, become a paid subscriber.
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Website video presentations:
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FOMO List and DD Sources (at the bottom of this newsletter for paid subscribers only)
Please read the FULL DISCLOSURE notice at the very top of every issue of The Market Algo Newsletter (NL)!
For paid subscribers:
My list (not inclusive) of my Due Diligence (DD) sources follows Only available to Paid Subscribers!
https://finance.yahoo.com
https://koyfin.com
https://americanbulls.com
https://stocktwits.com
https://barchart.com
https://macroaxis.com
https://armrreport.com/
https://finviz.com
https://themarketanalysts.com/
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Symbol Quantity I own Avg Price Remarks (may not be any remarks)
AOSL 10 59.93 Alpha & Omega Semiconductor Ltd = Semi stock
ASML 8 733.95 ASML Holding N.V. - semiconductor equipment systems - VERY LONG TERM HOLDING!
BABA 2 126.00 Alibaba Group Holding Ltd
BLDR 5 64.80 Builders FIrstSource, Inc
CORN 5 22.70 Teucrium Corn Fund
DBA 5 20.16 Invesco DB Agricultural Fund
DVN 5 51.00 Devon Energy Corporation (pays a Dividend)
ESTE 100 13.20 Earthstone Energy, Inc - VERY Volatile!!!
KRBN 5 51.70 KraneShares Global Carbon ETF - carbon Credits ETF
NVDA 12 312.83 Nvidia Corporation - volatile!
ON 13 70.08 ON Semiconductor Corporation = semi stock
PDCE 5 59.80 PDC Energy, Inc - energy
RJA 5 8.93 ELEMENTS-linked2Rogers Intl Commodity Index - Agricultural Total Return