The SPY(SPDR… S&P500 ETF)… is Trending Downward minus 16.82 for the week ending 08/26/2022…
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The Market Algo Newsletter: 08/26/2022
The SPY(SPDR… S&P500 ETF)… is Trending Downward minus 16.82 for the week ending 08/26/2022…
Paid Sub: NEVER miss an issue! Get EVERY ISSUE: To include: FOMO ETF/Stock Picks & DD Sources!
Subscribe to my free weekly MAG Commentary on LinkedIn
(Market Forecasts & Geopolitical Commentaries) to stay current on global geopolitics:
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ALSO: Join my Reddit Community and share our journey to stop the genocide-in Ukraine:
I have contacts worldwide that subscribe to my MAG Commentary NL (Market Forecasts & Geopolitical Commentaries" and my Substack Market Algo NL: https://tinyurl.com/Substack
The purpose of the Reddit community is to provide “real-time” updates on geopolitical events occurring worldwide AND connect peace activists and community organizers worldwide to share their journey: Together we CAN climb that mountain!
The LinkedIn NL is published weekly and is FREE! - Patrick OConnell My LI ID: azpat0
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Do your own DD and invest at your own risk tolerance.
I may buy and sell, some, most, or all of the positions in my FOMO (fear of losing out) from time to time!
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*** --------***
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Highly recommended publication – Please subscribe – its free! --- Patrick
Get the latest weekly global inflation updates in Inflated World!
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************* BEGIN *******************
Our proprietary market algo forecasts the following trends (Risk-on or Risk-off) for the week ending 08/26/22: Risk-off (Bearish)
The SPY(SPDR… S&P500 ETF)… is Trending Downward minus 16.82 for the week ending 08/26/2022…
Full Disclosure:
The analysis published is not investment advice!
I am not an investment advisor. Any financial information is for educational purposes only – NOT investment advice!
Risk-on (Bullish):….
Copper… WTO – Crude Oil…
Volatility is still with us – be forewarned…
Indeed…The Bear Market… is still very much with us!...
The global hyperinflation, the global supply chain dislocations…and of course… global drought - – the “wars” (take your pick: …Ukraine…Russia… China)…all of these negative factors are certainly not helpful for the bulls’ case…
Please note…Concerning my “VIX-SPY correlation-variance ” metric:
IF the VIX is trending DOWN AND the SPY is trending UP… for the most recent week of trading…then and only then will my VIX-SPY correlation-variance algo indicate a potential Risk-on (Bullish) trend… for the upcoming week…
This only happens…currently…on an infrequent basis!...
Risk-off (Bearish):…
QQQ… VIX-SPY Correlation Variance
VIX
VVIX
SPY…
A cautionary note to keep in mind…we are not yet seeing a confirmed bottom in the market…could be a LONG way off…- with the operative word being LONG…-…As Doug Casey said in a recent interview… - we are in a chaotic period in global markets…
Conclusion:…
For next week…ONLY… my algo ONLY forecasts potential market movement one week at a time - one trading week does NOT portend a long-term trend!....
My algo indicates that the Bears…at least for the week ahead…remain in control….
Some say we are entering a global depression…not so much a recession…What do YOU think?...
!
I do not think we have seen the bottom…I always like to see at least a 3 week period in which the market is in a bull trend… before I can determine a potential bottom for the market…
Even then, the market can still sustain a bull trap or a so-called head fake for a prolonged period…
Be careful in trading for the next one to two weeks…
It’s a jungle out there!...
I am tracking the weekly price movement of QQQ during 2022:
So, Moving forward, QQQ was a hypothetical “Buy” on 01/03/2020 at $401.68.
IMHO this correction of QQQ remains in an indefinite period of profound weakness! No sign of a definitive bottom from this point moving forward!
Each week, I indicate the profit or loss, based on this (pretend) entry point. Let’s see where it ends up at the end of 2022!
As of 08/26/2022, this hypothetical trade shows a loss of - $94.24 (QQQ was $307.44 at the close on 08/26/2022).
Reminder: Daniel Riley –Mr. TopStep:
https://mrtopstep.com
provides daily updates on the markets: His website & free email newsletter are a MUST!!! —Patrick
Swing-Trading:
I am illustrating the P/L (Profit/Loss) results of Ed Barsano’s also in a paper-trading acct
Check out my P&L at this link – using Ed Barsano’s free Algo- no software to download: Just set up an account at TDAmeritrade- I Love the algo!
Here is the link:
https://gobabytrade.com/gobabytrade_b0c29d35_0
Email Ed Barsano if you have any questions:
Full Disclosure for everyone:
Original Account Value: $7000 USD
Current Account Value: $9208.40 USD
This is as of market close on 08/26/2022 - All data is USD!
Initial equity in the paper account: USD $7000.00
Stock Price Shares Total Profit/Loss (pending & completed trades‘ results)
RUN 33.36 54 +128.42
NVDA 162.52 16 -365.21
PAAS 15.93 132 -461.12
Commentary for 08/26/2022:
I am indebted to Robin Horsfall’s compelling and timely articles- originally published on LinkedIn!
Published on LinkedIn: 08/25/2022
Exploding Potatoes?
Napoleon said 'An army marches on its stomach'. This is as true today as it was during the Peninsular wars.
At this moment the Russian Federation has up to 25,000 men on the west side of the Dnipro River who need to be fed. It is highly likely that they have already stolen livestock, commandeered civilian stocks and robbed supermarkets but 25,000 men need a lot of food and that food must be delivered daily to prevent an army from starving.
There is no route across the Dnipro that is viable for heavy vehicles or train transports. Kherson is essentially under siege. Ukraine is concentrating its efforts against logistical support systems with great effect.
Media attention has focused on the destruction of ammunition depots probably because they explode and are more interesting than damp, out of date rotting potatoes. In effect though, the potatoes are going to be a big part of the lever that moves the Russian forces situated in Kherson.
Men living out of doors and working hard need about 4000 calories a day. Even in concentrated forms this is an enormous undertaking. Transport, fuel, drivers, route clearance, establishing depots, storage facilities and distribution are all part of the job of feeding an army. All this has to happen under the threat of air and artillery attacks.
UA forces are being fed by the western nations, their supply routes and air space are relatively secure. UA soldiers can eat! When the temperature drops the food requirements increase.
The downside is that Russian soldiers will starve the civilian population to feed themselves and then blame Ukraine for the suffering of their own people. This is the mentality of 'You made me rape you.' There is only one rapist in this story, the Russian State.
Hungry Russian soldiers won't fight well. Hungry civilians will resist. Prisoners on the other hand will be fed. Ukraine will starve the hungry bear and send it back across river.
Slava Ukraini!
Who Dares Shares.
Robin Horsfall
Image Credit: Robin Horsfall – LinkedIn – 082522
Slava Ukraini!
Who Dares Shares
Robin Horsfall
Map of Ukraine- credit: Robin Horsfall- 08/08/2022:
******** ******** *******
I found this excerpt from The Financial Times (Swamp Notes) to be most prescient of what is- what will be and what it means for everyone on the planet--- IMHO it is indeed the “shadow of the chaos to come”:
Sadly, chaos is transient- what follows tends to be more long-lasting: anarchy – on many levels!
Source:
FYI: I comment on the “real-time” geopolitical blog posts I create for my Reddit “EndUkrainian Genocide” community:
The purpose of the Reddit community is to provide “real-time” updates on geopolitical events occurring worldwide AND connect peace activists and community organizers worldwide to share their journey: Together we CAN climb that mountain!
***************************** -------- *****************************
On to the “Main Event”:
I post the URL for each news item I share in my REDDIT blog post - if you want to do a deep dive into the source material.
Not the most “elegant” and detailed way of commenting, but as your time is valuable, I try to be as succinct as possible in my comments! - Patrick
Here are the major “real-time” news items I comment on for this past week:
Repeated- This is timeless AND priceless information:
4/18/22: Doug Casey: the world is headed for chaos and radical change
URL --- MUST View (recurring- as this is most prescient):
Links to impactful geopolitical events- that you should know about:
I published this on 6/3/22:
Benefits Of Hydrogen Peroxide On Plants And In Your Garden-Hydrogen Peroxide And Plants?
Yes, H2O2 has many benefits in your garden ranging from a disinfectant for garden tools and pots and work areas, to an anti-fungal and pest control powerhouse spray. Its uses……: MORE here:
It's gonna get ugly- Real Soon- Russia/Iran/China are now prepositioning their military troops on our southern border! R ready for the ?"occupiers"?Russia is releasing their prisoners to volunteer to join military, after 6 mo they are pardoned. We need to do that. We have about a million ...MORE!
"THINGS WILL NOT GET BETTER" - WIDESPREAD CIVIL UNREST IS INEVITABLE - PREPARE NOW! Chapters: Intro: 00:00 Civil Unrest: 00:25 Nat-Gas Prices Will Soar: 13:10 Millions Unable To Buy Food This Winter: 15:04 Theft Of Your Labor: 17:42 Funny: 26:27 Conclusion: 27:22
Most recent Geopolitical News for the week ending 08/26/2022:
Dateline: 082522- The day BEFORE The Market Implosion! - More carnage is to come- You DO know that, right? - 15,000 CARS REPOSSESSED PER DAY PEOPLE LOSING EVERYTHING - MAD MAX IS COMING - THE WORLD IS BANKRUPT 65,490 viewsAug 25, 2022
Wow everything is getting crazy with supply chain and food shortages! Many people are reporting food shortages, and people are reporting price hikes! and grocery stores double labeling prices, raising prices on things writing right over the old label, also the shortages are causing major price hi
Prepare now, Energy grid insider has warned of catastrophic consequences during shtf. A big warning for whats coming next and possibly wrol. Blackouts and energy riots could come very soon. Prepare for Food shortages which would come next after a grid collapse scenario. “Stand firm, and you will w
Dateline: 082622 – The Beginning of the Market Im0plosion? Is this a recession or the Big “D”? - THIS IS GOING TO GET REALLY BAD MARKETS CRUSHED TODAY - FED SLAMS THE BRAKES NOW COMES THE PAIN 4,117 views--Aug 26, 2022 636 --- The collapse is accelerating: DOW fell 1000 points today! It can only get worse- MUCH worse---- Batten down the hatches!
GET YOUR MONEY OUT OF THE BANK. BUY WHAT YOU NEED. BANKERS WARNING THAT THIS IS SO MUCH WORSE 1.3K
Updates on Mexico- Cartels taking over-- And other Foreign news on civil unrest- and more! -------Could flash mobs spill over to home invasions?? what to do to help protect yourself!! 11 views
The shadow of the Chaos that is to come to the US? IMHO- Anarchy ALWAYS follows chaos- Are YOU Ready for the hard times to come? - Will this come to the US- What do you think ?--- In Canada: EVERY farmer will soon stop farming, our food will disappear!! let's talk about it! 19 viewsAug 24, 2022 6
Things are coming at us in every direction. We are getting hit with high fuel prices. We cannot escape food inflation. Now our insurance and taxes are going to go sky high. When will it end? #TrainWreck #Economy #Inflation #IAllegedly #Twitter #ElonMusk #HomeSales #pultehomes #thefed #NaturalGasPric
Mad Max is coming- You WILL be assigned carbon credits- yes – just like in China- It SI coming! – IMHO - Cancel Everything and Leave Town! 13K --Coming Soon- Allocation of carbon credits to the rich- and to the rest of us(the 99%)- Future will be unrecognizable- compared to the past. The global energy/food chain - supply chain - infrastructure- when will it completely collapse? The 1% WILL get richer!
Canadian Prepper interviews Peter Schiff --- Final Warning: Tell Your Family to Prepare for Whats Coming 12K
Climate Police now arresting farmers- Canada reduced fertilizer production by 30%- Will Canada become another Sri Lanka? Documents leaked- tells what comes next! The Investment Impact Act is now law: Is Canada becoming Ch9na? Its gonna get butt-ugly! Canadian govt now has marshal law powers! No warrant – They take what they want- allegedly – BUT is THAT next? Is this Déjà vu of what Kinf George the 3rd did to the American Colonies- It din’t end well for England- Does history repeat--- Let me know your thought:
The ISW - Institute for the Study of War---Gen Jack Kean's take on the world situation -Pepper Nation: They Just Gave Us the SHTF BLUEPRINT! 2.9K-- Who is footing the bill for Antifa?
Its not just the US in trouble. China is a wreck, Europe is nearly beyond fixable&even Australia is falling apart. What will cause this all2come to a head? Well, we're seeing it already. LINKS: https://www.zerohedge.com/commodities... https://www.breitbart.com/asia/2022/0... Pinball Preparedness
What else are they not telling us? This is but the tip of the iceberg- but then again- maybe it is a “distraction”, right?
The reddit post:
Congress says the UFO Threat is gaining momentum- Wants Pentagon to investigate the Threat-Could be a Massive Military Threat against the US- Military unable to track these unmanned craft. Why is Congress admitting this NOW! What is their agenda? Is this another False Flag?-Prepare now for shtf as c
Will China’s manufacturing and export of products to the world accelerate the global implosion of everything!
Chinese factories shuttered because of no electricity –
They get their power from hydroelectric sources – and coal as well! The times – they are a-changing !!!
The Reddit post:
China is reeling under a record-breaking drought. Its largest river Yangtze has dried up. Its largest fresh-water lake Poyang has been reduced to a trickle. The receding water levels have revealed 3 ancient Buddhist statues. Palki Sharma reports. #Gravitas #China #YangtzeRiver About Channel: WON.. MORE!
00:48 Winter is coming 03:53 NatGas Hits 14-Year-High 06:40 The U.S. Has Doomed Europe To Hunger & Cold 09:20 Citi Issues Apocalyptic Warning 11:11 Aluminum & Zinc Smelters Shutting Down 13:58 Ketchup Prices Soar 15:00 Inflation Strips Away Your Property Rights 17:01 Military Families Suffer As Ren
******** END *************
More breaking news on my Reddit EndUkrainianGenocideNow Community!
Join now to keep up with events – as they happen! - - - Patrick
Go here:
Stay tuned for the next issue!
Another source of news and commentary that I follow and recommend is the one authored/published by Elaine Supkis- The Culture of Life News—Highly recommended:
https://emsnews.wordpress.com/
Thank you for following my MAG Commentary!
Patrick
In closing – last but not least:
Glory to Ukraine:
🇺🇦 Epic Orchestral Anthem of Ukraine - "Ще не вмерла України і слава, і воля" [English Translation]
51,811 views
Mar 2, 2022
4/22/19- 2,869,274 views on YouTube-Official HD Promo Video for Pet Shop Boys' fantastic single 'Go West'. Taken from the Pop Art Best - Parody of Russia-China ideology: Glory to Ukraine!
Time Out! Time to break from all this killing and war - Take a break and enjoy some beats; 1 hour of Pet Shop Boys Greatest Hits - Full Album 2022 - Best Songs Of Pet Shop Boys --- If music isn't your thing-- Grab some Tequila or some other "diversion" from the grind of everyday reality!
Not subscribed to my free Market Algo Newsletter?
Go here for the URL to sign up today - It IS free:
I publish a FREE weekly newsletter on Substack: The Market Algo Newsletter – It forecasts the direction of the S&P 500 market - index for the upcoming week -
Bonus – Check out my favorite strategy to raise YOUR Brand Awareness – free:
********************** Break ***********************
** And now for Everything Else- or as Paul Harvey says: And now for the rest of the story”… aka - Ads. Promotions and MORE! **** **** ****
An Impactful & Interesting Influencer I recently featured in my LinkedIn Group - Dr. Mehmet Yildiz - Founder and editor-in-chief for six integrated publications on Medium – serving 137K+ readers –
https://www.linkedin.com/groups/14110518/
What are you waiting for?
Free – I can feature you too!
Contact me today – let’s get you featured and raise your brand awareness:
Patrick OConnell – Albuquerque NM – USA
https://protectmykid.us
*** *** ***
My shameless self-promotion:
I made the initial introduction (and created a pitch deck) between a stealth nanomanufacturing startup founder/CEO and a group of investors – the $10M - $20M raise should close soon!
I am available to make similar introductions for YOUR startup/mature company as well!
--- Patrick
https://protectmykid.us
********--------********
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Go to “The Sample” using my referral link:
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*** ***
Promoted Ad – FYI:
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Investment Risks
Investments in Cryptocurrencies and Stocks can lead to a loss of money over short or even long periods. Investors in Cryptocurrencies and Stocks should expect prices to have large range fluctuations. The information published on the GoBabyTrade website cannot guarantee that investors in Cryptocurrencies and Stocks will not lose money.
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The 2 video links above explain “all you need to know” about how you can potentially make profits- consistently – with this one-of-a-kind crypto trading also! – Patrick OConnell
********--------********
Ed kindly shared this info on June 10th – FYI- NOT investment advice of course:
The goal of this video is to identify coins that can yield the highest percentage return during a crypto market recovery.
Thank you!
Ed
https://Crypto.GoBabyTrade.com
480-370-8101
If you would not like to see future emails from GoBabyTrade, please.
Investment Risks
Investments in Cryptocurrencies and Stocks can lead to a loss of money over short or even long periods. Investors in Cryptocurrencies and Stocks should expect prices to have large range fluctuations. The information published on the GoBabyTrade website cannot guarantee that investors in Cryptocurrencies and Stocks will not lose money.
Saint Michael Technologies, LLC.
GoBabyTrade Copyright © 2022 All rights reserved
Terms & Conditions
***---***
IF you ever wanted to interview/research “The Rich and Famous” OR –
You have always wondered how you can interview/research an impactful and interesting person – I am now inviting you to steal – as in FREE - my strategy to do these things!
Grab a copy of my “Checklist To Interview/Research Impactful and Interesting People here:
Available at Gumroad.com:
https://azpat0.gumroad.com/l/dggax
Thank you in advance for your interest and support. – Patrick
***===***
***===***
Important: Ellen Voie-CEO of Women In Trucking-has kindly offered caseloads of dolls – to be donated to NGOs and/or Ukrainian Resettlement organizations (501c3). Scientific research has indicated that “doll therapy” for children/the elderly is beneficial in many ways by “bonding” with a stuffed animal or a doll.
Check out the science for this:
https://digitalcommons.lesley.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1324&context=expressive_theses
May I hear from you soon? – Patrick OConnell
I am open to anyone that has a serious interest in this generous offer (10 dolls to a case) – to DM me. We can hop on a call (Tuesday-Friday: 10 am Mountain Time – 4:00 pm Mountain Time) to discuss/provide contact information.
“First come – first serve” as they say, or “You snooze – you lose”.
Supply may be limited.
May I hear from you soon? - Patrick (LinkedIn ID - azpat0)
You can contact me through my profile as well:
https://protectmykid.us
Patrick OConnell
***===***
I have joined an awesome YouTube group - “UkraineNow” – I shall share links to some of our 3 times per week meetups in The MAG Commentary - check this group out by inputting “UkraineNow Community Meeting” in YouTube’s search link.
***---***
FYI:
I have contacts worldwide that subscribe to my MAG Commentary NL (Market Forecasts & Geopolitical Commentaries" and my Substack Market Algo NL:
--- Patrick
***---***
NOTE: I am currently working as a copywriter for:
https://thecommUNITYGridNetwork.com
I shall include a few links in each MAG Commentary newsletter with the focus on: “Homesteading & Sustainable Agriculture” Videos. IMHO this may be appropriate, given the current volatility in the economic, geopolitical, and ongoing volatility of global ecosystems, and cultural transformations/upheavals.
***---***
You are welcome to join (free) The CommUNITY Grid Network:
The Network connects, promotes, and evolves
Heart-centered farms, ranches, retreats, and wellness centers in the United States, Canada, and Mexico.
The Network’s mission :
to create opportunities for people to connect with Nature at its vetted network of heart-centered farms, ranches, retreats, and wellness centers.
Simultaneously, the Network supports your destinations with customized workforce, wellness and agritourism strategies to make a sustainable living doing what you love.
--- Patrick
Link to The MAG Commentary (free weekly subscription):
https://www.linkedin.com/newsletters/the-mag-commentary-6904287978823188480/
**** Your Bonus – from me! ********
Bonus –
Check out my favorite strategy to raise YOUR Brand Awareness – free:
********** More stuff! *********
I also subscribe to The Cestrian Stock Bulletin – free:
https://newsletter.cestriancapitalresearch.com/add_subscriber
They have a paid plan on Substack- only $9 per month:
https://www.getrevue.co/subscribers/eU5H4l7fdLGkqv7aEMpeoQ/upgrade
They have samples of their newsletter posts on Substack, along with links to other newsletters they offer:
I plan to subscribe to their newsletter, with funds from my paid subscribers here at The Market Algo NL.
Disclosure: Cestrian Capital Research, Inc staff personal accounts hold long positions in, inter alia, TQQQ, NFLX, T, LHX, NET, DOCU.
You’re a free subscriber to Cestrian Tech Select. For the full experience, become a paid subscriber.
***--------***
The future of Database Workload Optimization:
https://www.sentientlinc.com/
Raise your brand awareness-I will create your Presentation (to “tell your story”) to look like this one:
Open w/VideoPlayer4GoogleDrive:
Increase your reach-without spending any money on ads, “to tell your story”--Ask me how:--
https://www.fiverr.com/patrickoconn127?public_mode=true
I create PowerPoint video presentations like these and more – for YOU!.
More Samples of my work are below:
For a Full Experience--- turn your speakers on to listen to the awesome musical soundtrack I include with ALL PowerPoint video presentations:
Website video presentations:
Samples of my work are here:
https://tinyurl.com/CANSPRES02
I charge the same amount- whether you want a pitch deck or a video presentation!
Don’t forget - My portfolio of social media and content marketing awesomeness is on my website:
https://protectmykid.us
Free or $5/month: Check out Medium – a social media platform venue for freelance writers like me. If you want to support me as a writer, consider signing up to become a Medium member. It’s $5/month, giving you unlimited access to stories on Medium. If you sign up using my link, I’ll earn a small commission.
Join Medium with my referral link: https://medium.com/@PatrickOConnellNM/membership
Thank you! ---- Patrick OConnell
NOTE: Subscribe to my MAG Newsletter (weekly & Free) on LinkedIn – My shameless pitch (hint: MAG is “Market Forecasts & Geopolitical Commentaries”) – nothing else comes even close - on the internet:
Thank you for your support!
I publish The MAG Commentary (Market Forecasts & Geopolitical Commentaries) on LinkedIn (weekly and free):
https://www.linkedin.com/newsletters/the-mag-commentary-6904287978823188480/
Did I say the MAG Commentary is Free?
The following information is for Paid Subscribers to The Market Algo Newsletter only:
FOMO List and DD Sources (at the bottom of this newsletter for paid subscribers only)
Please read the FULL DISCLOSURE notice at the very top of every issue of The Market Algo Newsletter (NL)!
For paid subscribers:
My list (not inclusive) of my Due Diligence (DD) sources follows Only available to Paid Subscribers!
https://finance.yahoo.com
https://koyfin.com
https://americanbulls.com
https://stocktwits.com
https://barchart.com
https://macroaxis.com
https://armrreport.com/
https://finviz.com
https://themarketanalysts.com/
FULL DISCLOSURE: I subscribe to:
https://stockreversalspremium.com/
FULL DISCLOSURE: I subscribe to Howard Lindzon’s free newsletter:
https://howardlindzon.com
My FOMO List – I am NOT an investment advisor – NOT investment advice! Do your own DD!
Symbol Quantity I own Avg Price Remarks (may not be any remarks)
AOSL 10 59.93 Alpha & Omega Semiconductor Ltd = Semi stock
ASML 8 733.95 ASML Holding N.V. - semiconductor equipment systems - VERY LONG TERM HOLDING!
BABA 2 126.00 Alibaba Group Holding Ltd
BLDR 5 64.80 Builders FIrstSource, Inc
CORN 5 22.70 Teucrium Corn Fund
DBA 5 20.16 Invesco DB Agricultural Fund
DVN 5 51.00 Devon Energy Corporation (pays a Dividend)
ESTE 100 13.20 Earthstone Energy, Inc - VERY Volatile!!!
KRBN 5 51.70 KraneShares Global Carbon ETF - carbon Credits ETF
NVDA 12 312.83 Nvidia Corporation - volatile!
ON 13 70.08 ON Semiconductor Corporation = semi stock
PDCE 5 59.80 PDC Energy, Inc - energy
RJA 5 8.93 ELEMENTS-linked2Rogers Intl Commodity Index - Agricultural Total Return
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