The SPY(SPDR… S&P500 ETF)… is Trending DOWNWARD-MINUS 9.15 for the week ending 08/18/2023.
Discover more from The Market Algo Newsletter
The SPY(SPDR… S&P500 ETF)… is Trending DOWNWARD-MINUS 9.15 for the week ending 08/18/2023.
Featured:Stephen Gardner-President Robert Peters, I mean Joe Biden, has been caught using multiple different fake names when communicating with his son and foreign leaders while Vice President. Ukrain
The Market Algo Newsletter: 08/19/2023
The SPY(SPDR… S&P500 ETF)… is Trending DOWNWARD-MINUS 9.15 for the week ending 08/18/2023.
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“Gold is the money of kings. Silver is the money of gentlemen. Barter is the money of peasants – but Debt is the money of slaves.”- Norm Franz
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Featured in the Commentary Section:
Featured:
Stephen Gardner-President Robert Peters, I mean Joe Biden, has been caught using multiple different fake names when communicating with his son and foreign leaders while Vice President. Ukraine is told by NATO that its time to give Putin land and end the war. New data shows Americans getting poorer!
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Something to lift your spirit:
Follow your bliss – Your daily dose of joy - @funfactoids4u –URL is Inside the NL -below!
https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCRVtgP2GtS78YCSWiqrOWhw
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The Market Algo Newsletter
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************* BEGIN *******************
*
The SPY(SPDR, S&P500 ETF), is Trending DOWNWARD – MINUS 9.15 for the past week ending on 08/18/2023.
In our opinion – not investment advice – The Bears – yet again - WILL rule for the trading week ending 08/25/2023!
Be Aware – Be Awesome –
To not miss out on the rapid changes in market trends – subscribe to our weekly MAG Newsletter!
For the upcoming trading week, ending on 08/25/2023, our proprietary algo forecasts the following potential trend for each of the following metrics – either Bullish or Bearish:
VIX index: Bearish!
VVIX index: Bearish!
SPY index: Bearish! - swing traders and day traders –
Take Note of This!
West Texas Intermediate – Crude Oil: Bearish!
QQQ: Bearish!
Copper: Bullish!
And of course, the VIX – SPY Correlation Variance” – Right on cue – Bearish! –
Conservative traders & “Investors” – Take Note of This!
So what?
So for the next week – the ongoing Bear market will yet again – prevail – pushing the Bulls aside!
Be nimble in trading this market- You do NOT want to be a bag holder when yet another rally manifests – and predictable will come to an end – leaving yet more clueless bag-holders!
Our conclusion for the week ahead is that – our algo indicates that the Bears – at least for the week ahead – are yet again in control.
The Takeaway:
Typically – in a Presidential year election cycle – some analysts say that the stock market “MUST” – “look good” to ensure the sheeple have the illusion that “it’s all good”. So – expect the periodic “rally” to manifest from time to time.
Our SPY-VIX Correlation Variation metric - – confirms - at least from a purely technical point of view (notwithstanding “Fed manipulation” monkey business) - this coming week’s underlying bearish leanings!
In our opinion massive global bank runs are still ongoing- notwithstanding the massive printing of fiat money to “stem the run on banks”.
Some analysts say that QE, or Qualitative Easing continues - at least for the banks!
This is – of course - NOT investment advice – but fasten your seat belts - a bumpy ride awaits!
Swing traders and day traders will make money – the traders that are not nimble will be crushed, in our opinion!
For the past few months, we have been saying that we are entering a global depression, not so much a recession!
Dan – at iAllegedly – on his YouTube channel - is sharing that the “D” word may be more likely than a mere recession!
More analysts and bankers are now forecasting the coming of a depression – NOT a recession!
What do YOU think?
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The “Markets” – Disconnected from the Reality of “Main Street”?
We agree with other analysts, that the equity markets are completely disconnected from the reality of the collapsing economies of many countries around the planet!
When we have a bullish week as we experience – intermittently – during this epic bear market - it demonstrates - that Wall Street is oblivious to the pain being felt by Main Street! Indeed – this disconnect between Wall Street and Main Street is growing – a LOT!
We continue to think – that when a rally occurs – that it is nothing more than just another sucker’s bull rally in the ongoing bear market!
My Final Takeaway:
These sucker rallies can last for weeks at a time- during a Bear Market! When the rug pull comes – as it inevitably WILL - the result will be a dramatic decline in the market indexes – in our opinion of course!
More and more analysts are forecasting a catastrophic commercial real estate crash! All we can say is “you have been warnded”!
We do not think we have seen the bottom.
Keep in mind, Volatility is still very much with us!
Indeed, The Bear Market is still very much still with us!
We always like to see at least a 3, or greater week period - in which the market is in a bull trend before we can determine a potential bottom for the market!
Be careful in trading for the next one to three weeks, – AND MORE!
It’s a jungle out there!
*
More details – and –
Our Full Disclosure:
This analysis is not investment advice.
We are not investment advisors!
Any financial information is for educational purposes only, not investment advice!
The global hyperinflation, the global supply chain dislocations, and of course… global drought, plus the “wars,” (take your pick: …Ukraine, Russia, China),…all of these negative factors are certainly not helpful for the bulls’ case!
Please note, Concerning our “VIX, SPY correlation-variance ” metric,
IF the VIX is trending DOWN. And the SPY is trending UP, for the most recent week of trading…then and only then will our VIX, SPY correlation-variance algo indicate a potential Risk-on, (Bullish) trend,… for the upcoming week,…
This indication of a potential Bullish trend, however, only happens,…currently,…on a very infrequent basis!...
As Doug Casey said in a recent interview, we are in a chaotic period in global markets!…
One analyst shared that bear markets may have 7 bull runs during the course of a bear market.
We may yet have a long way to go before we reach the bottom of this market!
Reminder:
Daniel Riley –Mr.TopStep:
https://mrtopstep.com
provides daily updates on the markets:
His website & free email newsletter are a MUST!!! —Patrick
Commentary for 08/19/2023:
I am indebted to Robin Horsfall’s compelling and timely articles- originally published on LinkedIn!
Robin HorsfallView Robin Horsfall’s profile
Former SAS Soldier. Writer, Veterans Campaigner and Public Speaker. Operations Nimrod and Mikado
Published on YouTube: 08/19/2023
A busy and expensive few weeks in Ukraine.
Ukraine has taken a more aggressive posture in the past weeks. Their forces have developed more efficient methods of clearing mines and deceiving Russian drones. They have made small penetrations in several areas in the south, including over the Dnipro River near Kherson. To date, none of these actions have created a deep penetration, but they expose Russian weaknesses, preventing them from resting and forces the occupiers to be reactive rather than proactive.
Ukraine probably has six more weeks to show some sort of territorial gain from all this summer's fighting. This is more important politically than strategically. Hoping 'the war will be over by Christmas' was never a serious consideration in Ukraine but there is another looming election in the USA next year and military spending will become one of the weapons used (by at least one party) to gain votes.
From a military view Russia is clearly on the defensive despite attempted counter attacks and aggressive efforts in Luhansk that have come to nothing. The USA has given permission for F16s to enter the fray but the numbers are insignificant (6) but might have opened the door for more trained pilots and aircraft to arrive next year.
Economically Russia is running out of money while China, who buys most of Russia's exports has plunged into recession and deflation. Russia's foreign holdings are frozen, it cannot sell or transport most of it's single most important product, oil and gas. As a result the cash situation will become desperate for Russia next year, (see Joe Bloggs on YouTube).
It is important for Ukraine to show that they will prevail and win in this war. Only when victory becomes clear will watchers on the side lines join the fight against Putin (as watchers are want to do).
If there is a territorial gain to be made before the autumn I think it might be in the weakly defended areas on the left bank of Dnipro south of Kherson. The river is low, and cannot be flooded again.
Ukraine cannot win without western support and western support, sadly, relies on evidence of success. Zelensky knows this, his generals know this too. I expect a busy and expensive few weeks on the front lines.
Slava Ukraini!
Who Dares Shares
Robin Horsfall
If you support my work go to robinhorsfall.info and consider purchasing one of my books.
Robin HorsfallView Robin Horsfall’s profile
Former SAS Soldier. Leadership in every environment. Writer, Veterans Campaigner and Inspiring Speaker. Operations Nimrod and Mikado
Map of Ukraine- credit: Robin Horsfall- 08/08/2022:
******** ******** *******
FYI: I comment on the “real-time” geopolitical blog posts I create for my Reddit “EndUkrainian Genocide” community:
The purpose of the Reddit community is to provide “real-time” updates on geopolitical events occurring worldwide AND connect peace activists and community organizers worldwide to share their journey: Together we CAN climb that mountain!
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On to the “Main Event”:
I post the URL for each news item I share in my REDDIT blog post - if you want to do a deep dive into the source material.
Not the most “elegant” and detailed way of commenting, but as your time is valuable, I try to be as succinct as possible in my comments! - Patrick
Here are the major “real-time” news items I comment on for this past week:
New stuff:
Featured:
Stephen Gardner-President Robert Peters, I mean Joe Biden, has been caught using multiple different fake names when communicating with his son and foreign leaders while Vice President. Ukraine is told by NATO that its time to give Putin land and end the war. New data shows Americans getting poorer!
https://www.reddit.com/r/EndUkrainianGenocide/comments/15u9qwy/stephen_gardnerpresident_robert_peters_i_mean_joe/
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More breaking events:
Full Spectrum Survival-PRESIDENTIAL ALERT: CHINA WAR NEWS! CHINESE PRESIDENT TOLD TO GET READY.
https://www.reddit.com/r/EndUkrainianGenocide/comments/15u9ped/full_spectrum_survivalpresidential_alert_china/
Full Spectrum Survival-BREAKING: STATE OF EMERGENCY, UKRAINE COLLAPSE, MARKETS IN FREE FALL, NATO'S NUCLEAR SIGNAL
https://www.reddit.com/r/EndUkrainianGenocide/comments/15u9jjt/full_spectrum_survivalbreaking_state_of_emergency/
Apppalachia's Hopmestead with Patara- When the money goes....
https://www.reddit.com/r/EndUkrainianGenocide/comments/15u2pne/apppalachias_hopmestead_with_patara_when_the/
Albert Ngoma-Official-Watch: Republicans in California exposing big criminal operation under Biden's watch-Kevin McCarthy
https://www.reddit.com/r/EndUkrainianGenocide/comments/15u252h/albert_ngomaofficialwatch_republicans_in/
Redacted-The Justin Trudeau government in Canada has awarded $1.1 million to a ""purge fund"" that will target anyone who is critical of LGBTQ indoctrination. Purge? How will they be purged exactly? For wrongthink? Journalist David Krayden helped uncover this story and he joins us from Canada.
https://www.reddit.com/r/EndUkrainianGenocide/comments/15u1p10/redactedthe_justin_trudeau_government_in_canada/
Poplar Rpt-Experts are forecasting a much worse winter than average and the simple fact is that our power grid and supplies of natural gas are much weaker than they have been in the past. A major winter emergency could put you and your family in danger. -Subscribe For Daily Breaking News & Shortage
https://www.reddit.com/r/EndUkrainianGenocide/comments/15tzon6/poplar_rptexperts_are_forecasting_a_much_worse/
Steven Van Metre-This Country is About To Do the Unthinkable (And the Shocking Reason Why)- The US is facing a bibical (not epic) implosion - Its economy is headed towards the cliff!
https://www.reddit.com/r/EndUkrainianGenocide/comments/15tya6z/teven_van_metrethis_country_is_about_to_do_the/
Redacted-Novice journalist Rav Arora tried to report on myocarditis early on in the Covid vaccine roll out and mainstream media told him that they would not publish those things because they were "pro vaccine." Is it the media's job to be pro vaccine? Isn't it their job to be pro-truth no matter how
https://www.reddit.com/r/EndUkrainianGenocide/comments/15t9bs9/redactednovice_journalist_rav_arora_tried_to/
i Allegedly-So many people believe that the stock market is about to collapse. Michael Burry has stepped forward and put a $1.6 billion bet that the market is going to collapse. Next up is Robert Kyosaki, who said that “America is Broke." And finally we have Mr. Wonderful who says “I live in the rea
https://www.reddit.com/r/EndUkrainianGenocide/comments/15sbrzz/i_allegedlyso_many_people_believe_that_the_stock/
Patrick Humphrey- Govt to issue a Major Announcement- You MAY have to buy a bike or-- a Horse! -PRESIDENTIAL ALERT ⛔ Nationwide TRAVEL RESTRICTIONS COMING - ALL STATES - LEAVE NOW! | shtf prepping
https://www.reddit.com/r/EndUkrainianGenocide/comments/15sbflv/patrick_humphrey_govt_to_issue_a_major/
Kitco News-Peter Grandich, Founder of PeterGrandich.com, who discusses the importance of paying close attention to China, geopolitics, and the BRICS. Grandich weighs in on the U.S. economic outlook and gives his investment advice on four commodities with the best upside potential. He also discusses
https://www.reddit.com/r/EndUkrainianGenocide/comments/15rdfyl/kitco_newspeter_grandich_founder_of/
Col Douglas Macgregor- A growing consensu of Americans do NOT WAN TO CONTINUE FUNDING THE WAR!- Yikes! I guess the White House didn't get the message!-Ukrain is now a graveyard- Thanks to Zelensky's throwing thousands of Ukrainians into the MEATGRINDER!-They Turned In The Direction Of The Russians
https://www.reddit.com/r/EndUkrainianGenocide/comments/15q8ysp/col_douglas_macgregor_a_growing_consensu_of/
Michael Knowles-Must Watch-Michael & The Q-Shaman | Locked In Solitary Confinement For 10 Months-CONTEXT:On January 6, 2021, following the defeat of U.S. President Donald Trump in the 2020 presidential election, a mob of his supporters attacked the United States Capitol Building in Washington, D.C..
https://www.reddit.com/r/EndUkrainianGenocide/comments/15q4kqn/michael_knowlesmust_watchmichael_the_qshaman/
************ END *************
More breaking news is posted on my Reddit EndUkrainianGenocideNow Community!
Join now to keep up with events – as they happen! - - - Patrick
Go here:
https://www.reddit.com/r/EndUkrainianGenocide/
Stay tuned for the next issue!
Another source of news and commentary that I follow and recommend is the one authored/published by Elaine Supkis- The Culture of Life News—Highly recommended:
https://emsnews.wordpress.com/
Patrick
********************** Break ***********************
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FOMO List and DD Sources (at the bottom of this newsletter for paid subscribers only)
Please read the FULL DISCLOSURE notice at the very top of every issue of The Market Algo Newsletter (NL)!
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Symbol Quantity I own Avg Price Remarks (may not be any remarks)
AOSL 10 59.93 Alpha & Omega Semiconductor Ltd = Semi stock
ASML 8 733.95 ASML Holding N.V. - semiconductor equipment systems - VERY LONG TERM HOLDING!
BABA 2 126.00 Alibaba Group Holding Ltd
BLDR 5 64.80 Builders FIrstSource, Inc
CORN 5 22.70 Teucrium Corn Fund
DBA 5 20.16 Invesco DB Agricultural Fund
DVN 5 51.00 Devon Energy Corporation (pays a Dividend)
ESTE 100 13.20 Earthstone Energy, Inc - VERY Volatile!!!
KRBN 5 51.70 KraneShares Global Carbon ETF - carbon Credits ETF
NVDA 12 312.83 Nvidia Corporation - volatile!
ON 13 70.08 ON Semiconductor Corporation = semi stock
PDCE 5 59.80 PDC Energy, Inc - energy
RJA 5 8.93 ELEMENTS-linked2Rogers Intl Commodity Index - Agricultural Total Return
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Don’t miss Luna Maypole’s latest Chapter of
“NM-Kitty’s Meow Adventures” (written in the style of A.A. Milne – creator of the Winnie the Pooh Adventures):
Don’t miss Chapter 13: Paws of Justice - Adventures in Kuwait -
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check it out today:
Find “NM-Kitty” on page 1 of “Google Search”!
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FYI - I use the pen name, Luna Maypole --- Patrick OConnell
Have you followed Aleph and Omega – My protagonists in my short story fictional series “The Fellowship of Dreams”?
The latest chapter (written in the style of #Tom Clancy) -
Is located at Lampshade of Illumination - here:
Don’t miss Part 13: Unmasking the Secret Society in Ukraine’s Underground -
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