The SPY(SPDR S&P500 ETF) is Trending Downward… minus 4.96 for the week ending 08/19/2022
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The Market Algo Newsletter: 08/19/2022
The SPY(SPDR S&P500 ETF) is Trending Downward… minus 4.96 for the week ending 08/19/2022
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Get the latest weekly global inflation updates in Inflated World!
Get this awesome Substack weekly publication or get left behind!
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************* BEGIN *******************
Our proprietary market algo forecasts the following trends (Risk-on or Risk-off) for the week ending 08/19/22:
Full Disclosure:
An analysis published is not investment advice!
I am not an investment advisor. Any financial information is for educational purposes only – NOT investment advice!
The SPY(SPDR… S&P500 ETF)… is Trending Downward minus 4.96 for the week ending 08/19/2022…
Risk-on (Bullish):….
VVIX…
Volatility is still with us – be forewarned…
Indeed…The Bear Market… is still very much with us!...
The global hyperinflation, the global supply chain dislocations…and of course… – the “wars” (take your pick: …Ukraine…Russia… China)…all of these negative factors are certainly not helpful for the bulls’ case…
Please note…Concerning my “VIX-SPY correlation-variance ” metric… - IF the VIX is trending DOWN AND the SPY is trending UP… for the most recent week of trading…then and only then will my VIX-SPY correlation-variance algo indicate a potential Risk-on (Bullish) trend… for the upcoming week…This only happens…currently…on an infrequent basis!...
Risk-off (Bearish):…
QQQ…WTI…Crude Oil…
Copper…VIX…-…SPY Correlation Variance…
SPY…VIX…
A cautionary note to keep in mind…we are not yet seeing a confirmed bottom in the market…could be a LONG way off…- with the operative word being LONG…-…As Doug Casey said in a recent interview… - we are in a chaotic period in global markets…
Conclusion:…
For next week…ONLY… my algo ONLY forecasts potential market movement one week at a time…one week does NOT portend a long-term trend!....
My algo indicates that the Bears…at least for the week ahead…remain in control….
Some say we are entering a global depression…not so much a recession…What do YOU think?...
I do not think we have seen the bottom…I always like to see at least a 3 week period in which the market is in a bull trend… before I can determine a potential bottom for the market…
Even then, the market can still sustain a bull trap or a so-called head fake for a prolonged period…
Be careful in trading for the next one to two weeks…
It’s a jungle out there!...
I am tracking the weekly price movement of QQQ during 2022:
So, Moving forward, QQQ was a hypothetical “Buy” on 01/03/2020 at $401.68. IMHO this correction of QQQ remains in an indefinite period of profound weakness! No sign of a definitive bottom from this point moving forward!
Each week, I indicate the profit or loss, based on this (pretend) entry point. Let’s see where it ends up at the end of 2022!
As of 08/192/2022, this hypothetical trade shows a loss of - $78.82 (QQQ was $322.86 at the close on 08/19/2022).
Reminder: Daniel Riley –Mr. TopStep:
https://mrtopstep.com
provides daily updates on the markets: His website & free email newsletter are a MUST!!! —Patrick
Swing-Trading:
I am illustrating the P/L (Profit/Loss) results of Ed Barsano’s also in a paper-trading acct
Check out my P&L at this link – using Ed Barsano’s free Algo- no software to download: Just set up an account at TDAmeritrade- I Love the algo!
Here is the link:
https://gobabytrade.com/gobabytrade_b0c29d35_0
Email Ed Barsano if you have any questions:
Full Disclosure for everyone:
Original Account Value: $7000 USD
Current Account Value: $9374.83 USD
This is as of market close on 08/19/2022 - All data is USD!
Initial equity in the paper account: USD $7000.00
Stock Price Shares Total Profit/Loss (pending & completed trades‘ results)
RUN 32.79 54 +60.75
NVDA 178.58 12 -157.47
PAAS 16.13 132 1030.66
Commentary for 08/19/2022:
I am indebted to Robin Horsfall’s compelling and timely articles- originally published on LinkedIn!
Published on LinkedIn: 08/21/22:
Putin's terrorists will attack you where you are weakest.
Ukraine is creating absolute chaos behind the Russian lines especially in Crimea. Attacks on three airfields, on the Sevastopol HQ and early attempts of the Kerch Bridge are leaving Russian Forces with nowhere to hide. Whether the attacks are being mounted by drones, HIMARS. Special Forces or local partisans it is clear that there is an organised and coordinated method to these operations. They are not simply raids. They are targeted at command structures, air defences, aircraft, fuel and ammunition supplies and supply routes.
Back at home the attempted murder of Putin ally, Alexander Dugin by bombing his car will leave Putin searching for someone to blame (even if it was him). Is it Ukrainian or Russian agents who are planting bombs under cars in Moscow?
Minor Russian advances continue in Donbass but at an ever greater cost. While Chechen mercenaries fight for Putin a larger number see the war in Ukraine as an opportunity to gain their own freedom from Russian oppression.
Zelensky's growing confidence became clear when he stated that there would be no peace without the return of Crimea. Russian civilians are retreating back home across the Kerch Bridge partly from fear and partly because school starts again soon in Russia. They carry news about the destruction of Saki Airport with them.
The next two weeks should open the cracks wider in the Russian defences. However, my words of warning are to Ukraine. Be careful when you gather on the streets to celebrate your Independence Day. Putin's terrorists will attack you where you are weakest. Vigilance and high security is essential at home as well as on the battle field.
Image Credit: Robin Horsfall – LinkedIn – 081211
Slava Ukraini!
Who Dares Shares
Robin Horsfall
Map of Ukraine- credit: Robin Horsfall- 08/08/2022:
Please view this awesome You Tube video – an interview with Robin Horsfall by Rouen Heiberg & Bryan Mennie(081022)”
Rouen Heiberg• 3rd+Sales Manager: Business Development3mo • 3 months ago
******** ******** *******
I found this excerpt from The Financial Times (Swamp Notes) to be most prescient of what is- what will be and what it means for everyone on the planet--- IMHO it is indeed the “shadow of the chaos to come”:
Sadly, chaos is transient- what follows tends to be more long-lasting: anarchy – on many levels!
Source:
FYI: I comment on the “real-time” geopolitical blog posts I create for my Reddit “EndUkrainian Genocide” community:
The purpose of the Reddit community is to provide “real-time” updates on geopolitical events occurring worldwide AND connect peace activists and community organizers worldwide to share their journey: Together we CAN climb that mountain!
***************************** -------- *****************************
On to the “Main Event”:
I post the URL for each news item I share in my REDDIT blog post - if you want to do a deep dive into the source material.
Not the most “elegant” and detailed way of commenting, but as your time is valuable, I try to be as succinct as possible in my comments! - Patrick
Here are the major “real-time” news items I comment on for this past week:
Repeated- This is timeless AND priceless information:
4/18/22: Doug Casey: the world is headed for chaos and radical change
URL --- MUST View (recurring- as this is most prescient):
Links to impactful geopolitical events- that you should know about:
I published this on 6/3/22:
Benefits Of Hydrogen Peroxide On Plants And In Your Garden-Hydrogen Peroxide And Plants?
Yes, H2O2 has many benefits in your garden ranging from a disinfectant for garden tools and pots and work areas, to an anti-fungal and pest control powerhouse spray. Its uses……: MORE here:
It's gonna get ugly- Real Soon- Russia/Iran/China are now prepositioning their military troops on our southern border! R ready for the ?"occupiers"?Russia is releasing their prisoners to volunteer to join military, after 6 mo they are pardoned. We need to do that. We have about a million ...MORE!
"THINGS WILL NOT GET BETTER" - WIDESPREAD CIVIL UNREST IS INEVITABLE - PREPARE NOW! Chapters: Intro: 00:00 Civil Unrest: 00:25 Nat-Gas Prices Will Soar: 13:10 Millions Unable To Buy Food This Winter: 15:04 Theft Of Your Labor: 17:42 Funny: 26:27 Conclusion: 27:22
This - IS- an official blockade- China is showing it can destroy ALL of Taiwan's infrastructure- if it wishes- ALL of It!!!-THIS IS WAR. MISSILES LAUNCHED. JAPAN REACTS. THE TAIWAN BLOCKADE ENACTED. USA WARNING OF WAR.
Disaster Relief leaders from 20+ States were discussing the next disaster and if we are ready for what is about to come. (Hint: No we're not) SHTF is happening and will happen again soon as we move into the heart of Hurricane disaster season. Food shortages, diesel shortages and more will be made…
URGENT VIDEO! THEY ARE DESTROYING THE FOOD SUPPLY EVERY WAY THEY CAN THINK OF! 2.9K
Colorado River water now being rationed by the Feds! More ration cuts coming? - It can only get worse! MUCH worse!-MORE here: Food production out West is being threatened and food shortages are inevitable with agriculture losing water rights due to the drought out west.
How Solar Powered Machines are Making Free Water in the Sahara Desert 155,759 viewsAug 14, 2022 2.8K
Permaculture instructor Andrew Millison presents on ponds and permaculture water management. Links: Darren Doherty's Regrarians Handbook - http://www.regrarians.org/regrarians-...
Mexico has Imploded- It's game over- Cartels kidnap Natl Guard military-Coming to the US soon?Dozens of national guard members have been kidnapped. The WEF has come out with a plan for the future of humanity during shtf. They believe the earth is overpopulated. Mayor's son taken out!
RANCHERS WARN OF $50 PER POUND BEEF - CATASTROPHIC CROP LOSSES IN 2022 WILL LEAD TO FAMINE 306
******** END *************
More breaking news on my Reddit EndUkrainianGenocideNow Community!
Join now to keep up with events – as they happen! - - - Patrick
Go here:
Stay tuned for the next issue!
Another source of news and commentary that I follow and recommend is the one authored/published by Elaine Supkis- The Culture of Life News—Highly recommended:
https://emsnews.wordpress.com/
Thank you for following my MAG Commentary!
Patrick
In closing – last but not least:
Glory to Ukraine:
🇺🇦 Epic Orchestral Anthem of Ukraine - "Ще не вмерла України і слава, і воля" [English Translation]
51,811 views
Mar 2, 2022
4/22/19- 2,869,274 views on YouTube-Official HD Promo Video for Pet Shop Boys' fantastic single 'Go West'. Taken from the Pop Art Best - Parody of Russia-China ideology: Glory to Ukraine!
Time Out! Time to break from all this killing and war - Take a break and enjoy some beats; 1 hour of Pet Shop Boys Greatest Hits - Full Album 2022 - Best Songs Of Pet Shop Boys --- If music isn't your thing-- Grab some Tequila or some other "diversion" from the grind of everyday reality!
Not subscribed to my free Market Algo Newsletter?
Go here for the URL to sign up today - It IS free:
I publish a FREE weekly newsletter on Substack: The Market Algo Newsletter – It forecasts the direction of the S&P 500 market - index for the upcoming week -
Bonus – Check out my favorite strategy to raise YOUR Brand Awareness – free:
********************** Break ***********************
** And now for Everything Else- or as Paul Harvey says: And now for the rest of the story”… aka - Ads. Promotions and MORE! **** **** ****
An Impactful & Interesting Influencer I recently featured in my LinkedIn Group - Dr. Mehmet Yildiz - Founder and editor-in-chief for six integrated publications on Medium – serving 137K+ readers –
https://www.linkedin.com/groups/14110518/
What are you waiting for?
Free – I can feature you too!
Contact me today – let’s get you featured and raise your brand awareness:
Patrick OConnell – Albuquerque NM – USA
https://protectmykid.us
*** *** ***
My shameless self-promotion:
I made the initial introduction (and created a pitch deck) between a stealth nanomanufacturing startup founder/CEO and a group of investors – the $10M - $20M raise should close soon!
I am available to make similar introductions for YOUR startup/mature company as well!
--- Patrick
https://protectmykid.us
********--------********
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Investment Risks
Investments in Cryptocurrencies and Stocks can lead to a loss of money over short or even long periods. Investors in Cryptocurrencies and Stocks should expect prices to have large range fluctuations. The information published on the GoBabyTrade website cannot guarantee that investors in Cryptocurrencies and Stocks will not lose money.
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The 2 video links above explain “all you need to know” about how you can potentially make profits- consistently – with this one-of-a-kind crypto trading also! – Patrick OConnell
********--------********
Ed kindly shared this info on June 10th – FYI- NOT investment advice of course:
The goal of this video is to identify coins that can yield the highest percentage return during a crypto market recovery.
Thank you!
Ed
https://Crypto.GoBabyTrade.com
480-370-8101
If you would not like to see future emails from GoBabyTrade, please.
Investment Risks
Investments in Cryptocurrencies and Stocks can lead to a loss of money over short or even long periods. Investors in Cryptocurrencies and Stocks should expect prices to have large range fluctuations. The information published on the GoBabyTrade website cannot guarantee that investors in Cryptocurrencies and Stocks will not lose money.
Saint Michael Technologies, LLC.
GoBabyTrade Copyright © 2022 All rights reserved
Terms & Conditions
***---***
IF you ever wanted to interview/research “The Rich and Famous” OR –
You have always wondered how you can interview/research an impactful and interesting person – I am now inviting you to steal – as in FREE - my strategy to do these things!
Grab a copy of my “Checklist To Interview/Research Impactful and Interesting People here:
Available at Gumroad.com:
https://azpat0.gumroad.com/l/dggax
Thank you in advance for your interest and support. – Patrick
***===***
***===***
Important: Ellen Voie-CEO of Women In Trucking-has kindly offered caseloads of dolls – to be donated to NGOs and/or Ukrainian Resettlement organizations (501c3). Scientific research has indicated that “doll therapy” for children/the elderly is beneficial in many ways by “bonding” with a stuffed animal or a doll.
Check out the science for this:
https://digitalcommons.lesley.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1324&context=expressive_theses
May I hear from you soon? – Patrick OConnell
I am open to anyone that has a serious interest in this generous offer (10 dolls to a case) – to DM me. We can hop on a call (Tuesday-Friday: 10 am Mountain Time – 4:00 pm Mountain Time) to discuss/provide contact information.
“First come – first serve” as they say, or “You snooze – you lose”.
Supply may be limited.
May I hear from you soon? - Patrick (LinkedIn ID - azpat0)
You can contact me through my profile as well:
https://protectmykid.us
Patrick OConnell
***===***
I have joined an awesome YouTube group - “UkraineNow” – I shall share links to some of our 3 times per week meetups in The MAG Commentary - check this group out by inputting “UkraineNow Community Meeting” in YouTube’s search link.
***---***
FYI:
I have contacts worldwide that subscribe to my MAG Commentary NL (Market Forecasts & Geopolitical Commentaries" and my Substack Market Algo NL:
--- Patrick
***---***
NOTE: I am currently working as a copywriter for:
https://thecommUNITYGridNetwork.com
I shall include a few links in each MAG Commentary newsletter with the focus on: “Homesteading & Sustainable Agriculture” Videos. IMHO this may be appropriate, given the current volatility in the economic, geopolitical, and ongoing volatility of global ecosystems, and cultural transformations/upheavals.
***---***
You are welcome to join (free) The CommUNITY Grid Network:
The Network connects, promotes, and evolves
Heart-centered farms, ranches, retreats, and wellness centers in the United States, Canada, and Mexico.
The Network’s mission :
to create opportunities for people to connect with Nature at its vetted network of heart-centered farms, ranches, retreats, and wellness centers.
Simultaneously, the Network supports your destinations with customized workforce, wellness and agritourism strategies to make a sustainable living doing what you love.
--- Patrick
Link to The MAG Commentary (free weekly subscription):
https://www.linkedin.com/newsletters/the-mag-commentary-6904287978823188480/
**** Your Bonus – from me! ********
Bonus –
Check out my favorite strategy to raise YOUR Brand Awareness – free:
********** More stuff! *********
I also subscribe to The Cestrian Stock Bulletin – free:
https://newsletter.cestriancapitalresearch.com/add_subscriber
They have a paid plan on Substack- only $9 per month:
https://www.getrevue.co/subscribers/eU5H4l7fdLGkqv7aEMpeoQ/upgrade
They have samples of their newsletter posts on Substack, along with links to other newsletters they offer:
I plan to subscribe to their newsletter, with funds from my paid subscribers here at The Market Algo NL.
Disclosure: Cestrian Capital Research, Inc staff personal accounts hold long positions in, inter alia, TQQQ, NFLX, T, LHX, NET, DOCU.
You’re a free subscriber to Cestrian Tech Select. For the full experience, become a paid subscriber.
***--------***
The future of Database Workload Optimization:
https://www.sentientlinc.com/
Raise your brand awareness-I will create your Presentation (to “tell your story”) to look like this one:
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I charge the same amount- whether you want a pitch deck or a video presentation!
Don’t forget - My portfolio of social media and content marketing awesomeness is on my website:
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Free or $5/month: Check out Medium – a social media platform venue for freelance writers like me. If you want to support me as a writer, consider signing up to become a Medium member. It’s $5/month, giving you unlimited access to stories on Medium. If you sign up using my link, I’ll earn a small commission.
Join Medium with my referral link: https://medium.com/@PatrickOConnellNM/membership
Thank you! ---- Patrick OConnell
NOTE: Subscribe to my MAG Newsletter (weekly & Free) on LinkedIn – My shameless pitch (hint: MAG is “Market Forecasts & Geopolitical Commentaries”) – nothing else comes even close - on the internet:
Thank you for your support!
I publish The MAG Commentary (Market Forecasts & Geopolitical Commentaries) on LinkedIn (weekly and free):
https://www.linkedin.com/newsletters/the-mag-commentary-6904287978823188480/
Did I say the MAG Commentary is Free?
The following information is for Paid Subscribers to The Market Algo Newsletter only:
FOMO List and DD Sources (at the bottom of this newsletter for paid subscribers only)
Please read the FULL DISCLOSURE notice at the very top of every issue of The Market Algo Newsletter (NL)!
For paid subscribers:
My list (not inclusive) of my Due Diligence (DD) sources follows Only available to Paid Subscribers!
https://finance.yahoo.com
https://koyfin.com
https://americanbulls.com
https://stocktwits.com
https://barchart.com
https://macroaxis.com
https://armrreport.com/
https://finviz.com
https://themarketanalysts.com/
FULL DISCLOSURE: I subscribe to:
https://stockreversalspremium.com/
FULL DISCLOSURE: I subscribe to Howard Lindzon’s free newsletter:
https://howardlindzon.com
My FOMO List – I am NOT an investment advisor – NOT investment advice! Do your own DD!
Symbol Quantity I own Avg Price Remarks (may not be any remarks)
AOSL 10 59.93 Alpha & Omega Semiconductor Ltd = Semi stock
ASML 8 733.95 ASML Holding N.V. - semiconductor equipment systems - VERY LONG TERM HOLDING!
BABA 2 126.00 Alibaba Group Holding Ltd
BLDR 5 64.80 Builders FIrstSource, Inc
CORN 5 22.70 Teucrium Corn Fund
DBA 5 20.16 Invesco DB Agricultural Fund
DVN 5 51.00 Devon Energy Corporation (pays a Dividend)
ESTE 100 13.20 Earthstone Energy, Inc - VERY Volatile!!!
KRBN 5 51.70 KraneShares Global Carbon ETF - carbon Credits ETF
NVDA 12 312.83 Nvidia Corporation - volatile!
ON 13 70.08 ON Semiconductor Corporation = semi stock
PDCE 5 59.80 PDC Energy, Inc - energy
RJA 5 8.93 ELEMENTS-linked2Rogers Intl Commodity Index - Agricultural Total Return
*** *** ***
Subscribe to my free weekly MAG Commentary on LinkedIn (Market Forecasts & Geopolitical Commentaries" to stay current on global geopolitics:
https://tinyurl.com/GenocideNo
Also: Join my Reddit Community and share your journey to stop the genocide-in Ukraine:
Patrick OConnell – Editor: The MAG Commentary
If you want all of the above geopolitical news PLUS more financial-related information- steal my free subscription to The Market Algo Newsletter – published on Substack:
It forecasts the direction of the S&P 500 market - index for the upcoming week -
*** *** *** ***
Can you spare 2 minutes of your time to listen to our Podcast?
Not able to spend your time reading my market algo’s S&P 500 weekly forecast?
If so, give me 2 minutes’ of your time each week to listen to our You Tube Podcast, “The Patrick and Stephanie Show – The Market Algo S&P-500 Weekly Forecast” by clicking on the link to our You Tube Channel here:
https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCh6lligtb6zgOfscAzvgqeg
Reminder – NOT investment advice – for entertainment use only – for your enjoyment and listening pleasure as well! However, we hope that you will gain some educational value from what we share on our Podcast!
We appreciate your liking and subscribing to our Podcast!
Thank you in advance for doing so, everyone!
Patrick & Stephanie OConnell
Albuquerque NM – USA