The Bears- once again – are in control for the week ahead!
The Bears- once again – are in control for the week ahead!
“Gold is the money of kings. Silver is the money of gentlemen. Barter is the money of peasants – but Debt is the money of slaves.”- Norm Franz
The Bears- once again – are in control for the week ahead!
The Market Algo Newsletter: 040623
The SPY(SPDR… S&P500 ETF)… is Trending DOWNWARD, MINUS 0.61 for the week ending 04/06/2323
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The SPY(SPDR, S&P500 ETF), is Trending Downward, MINUS 0.61 after business hours) for the past week ending on 04/06/2023.
In our opinion – not investment advice – next week will continue to be epic! Be Aware – Be Awesome –
To not miss out on the rapid changes in market trends – subscribe to our YouTube channel!
For the upcoming trading week, ending on 04/14/2023, our proprietary algo forecasts the following potential trend for each of the following metrics – either Bullish or Bearish:
VIX index: Bullish,
VVIX index: Bullish,
SPY index: Bearish – the sucker’s rally is toast!
West Texas Intermediate – Crude Oil: Bullish!
QQQ: Bearish – Timber!
Copper: Bearish – Not a good sign!
And of course, the VIX – SPY Correlation Variance” – Bearish – The Bears – once again – are in control!
So what? So, our conclusion for the week ahead is that – Surprise-Surprise - our algo indicates that the Bears – at least for the week ahead – are yet again in control.
Our SPY-VIX Correlation Variation metric - – confirms this of course.
In our opinion massive global bank runs are still ongoing- notwithstanding the massive printing of fiat money to “stem the run on banks”.
Some analysts say that QE, or Qualitative Easing is back again!
This is – of course - NOT investment advice – but fasten your seat belts- a bumpy ride awaits!
Swing traders and day traders will make money – the traders that are not nimble will be crushed, in our opinion!
For the past few months, we have been saying that we are entering a global depression, not so much a recession! Dan – at iAllegedly – on his YouTube channel - is sharing that the “D” word may be more likely than a mere recession!
What do YOU think?
We agree with other analysts, that the equity markets are completely disconnected from the reality of the collapsing economies of many countries around the planet!
When we have a bullish week as we experience – intermittently – during this epic bear market - it demonstrates - that Wall Street is oblivious to the pain being felt by Main Street! Indeed – this disconnect between Wall Street and Main Street is growing – a LOT!
We continue to think – that when a rally occurs – that it is nothing more than just another sucker’s bull rally in the ongoing bear market!
As the sucker’s rally plays on – from time to time- on a seemingly random basis - – in our opinion- the ship (just think of The Titanic) – continues to sink – and increasingly so!
These sucker rallies can last for weeks at a time- during a Bear Market! When the rug pull comes – as it inevitably WILL - the result will be a dramatic decline in the market indexes – in our opinion of course!
We do not think we have seen the bottom.
Keep in mind, Volatility is still very much with us!
Indeed, The Bear Market is still very much still with us!
We always like to see at least a 3, or greater week period - in which the market is in a bull trend before we can determine a potential bottom for the market!
Be careful in trading for the next one to three weeks, – AND MORE!
It’s a jungle out there!
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More details – and –
Our Full Disclosure:
This analysis is not investment advice.
We are not investment advisors!
Any financial information is for educational purposes only, not investment advice!
The global hyperinflation, the global supply chain dislocations, and of course… global drought, plus the “wars,” (take your pick: …Ukraine, Russia, China),…all of these negative factors are certainly not helpful for the bulls’ case!
Please note, Concerning our “VIX, SPY correlation-variance ” metric,
IF the VIX is trending DOWN. And the SPY is trending UP, for the most recent week of trading…then and only then will our VIX, SPY correlation-variance algo indicate a potential Risk-on, (Bullish) trend,… for the upcoming week,…
This indication of a potential Bullish trend, however, only happens,…currently,…on a very infrequent basis!...
As Doug Casey said in a recent interview, we are in a chaotic period in global markets!…
One analyst shared that bear markets may have 7 bull runs during the course of a bear market.
The most recent sucker rally would possibly be bull run number 4!
We may have 3 more bull runs to go before the bear market has run its course.
Reminder:
Daniel Riley –Mr.TopStep:
https://mrtopstep.com
provides daily updates on the markets:
His website & free email newsletter are a MUST!!! —Patrick
Commentary for 04/06/2023:
I am indebted to Robin Horsfall’s compelling and timely articles- originally published on LinkedIn!
Robin HorsfallView Robin Horsfall’s profile
Former SAS Soldier. Writer, Veterans Campaigner and Public Speaker. Operations Nimrod and Mikado
Published on LinkedIn: 040423
Robin HorsfallView Robin Horsfall’s profile
• 2nd
Former SAS Soldier. Writer, Veterans Campaigner and Public Speaker. Operations Nimrod and Mikado
Former SAS Soldier. Writer, Veterans Campaigner and Public Speaker. Operations Nimrod and Mikado
Finland and NATO.
Finland is a nation with National Service. Becoming a member of NATO adds the potential for another 200,000 troops to be mobilised in the event of an emergency. The people of Finland have a proud history of resistance to the Soviet Union having defeated a Soviet invasion1939.
After WW2 Finland walked a tightrope of neutrality, carefully balanced between the Soviet Union and NATO. They are rightly proud of that history. However, Putin's invasion of Ukraine made it clear that the tightrope was dangerously frayed and the only way to be safe was to come to ground on the side of the West. Success for Putin in Ukraine would have encouraged further incursions and pressures on neutral states. Sweden have taken the same path and it is only a matter of time before they too are admitted adding another well financed army into the fold.
Putin claimed that he invaded Ukraine in response to the advance of NATO towards his borders. It wasn't NATO he feared, it was legitimate elections, freedom of expression and democracy. It was our ideology that was the true threat. His failed invasion has had the opposite effect to the one he desired. Finland has an 800 mile border with Russia, a border that Putin must now defend. That will be difficult as he is killing his own soldiers faster than he can replace them. The infrastructure of his armed forces is collapsing, there is a resistance movement in his own country that is growing in confidence. Finland's membership is a serious blow that he might not recover from.
Finland controls the Baltic Sea and the entrance to St Petersburg, a major port for the Russian Navy. Combined with Sweden their membership of NATO means that the Baltic Sea is now a NATO sea. It is would be a simple matter after today to close the Gulf of Finland and seal Russian ships off from the North Sea.
Welcome to NATO Finland. Your membership not only increases your security, it increases ours too.
Slava Ukraini!
Who Dares Shares
Robin Horsfall
Map of Ukraine- credit: Robin Horsfall- 08/08/2022:
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FYI: I comment on the “real-time” geopolitical blog posts I create for my Reddit “EndUkrainian Genocide” community:
The purpose of the Reddit community is to provide “real-time” updates on geopolitical events occurring worldwide AND connect peace activists and community organizers worldwide to share their journey: Together we CAN climb that mountain!
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On to the “Main Event”:
I post the URL for each news item I share in my REDDIT blog post - if you want to do a deep dive into the source material.
Not the most “elegant” and detailed way of commenting, but as your time is valuable, I try to be as succinct as possible in my comments! - Patrick
Here are the major “real-time” news items I comment on for this past week:
New stuff:
Canadian Prepper - The Greatest Depression - Imminent?-It'll be global! - 1:46 / 53:11 HOLY !$%*! A Wise Man's WARNING About What HAPPENS Next... Get Ready for CHAOS
Patrick Humphrey - 0:02 / 10:55 MASSIVE RIOTS - BANKS BURNED - CHAOS IN STREETS - PREPARE for WROL | Patrick Humphrey - Massive fires - Targeting of the planet's largest multinational corporations- France is burning! Blackrock targeted!
Patrick Humphrey- US Govt warns of a Dystopian Future is imminent - Are you ready for a Mad Max scenario- nationwide? -
The Economic Ninja - BRICS News Is Being Withheld (This Is A Big Deal)
Greg Mannarino - LIVE! World De-Dollarization Will Lead To Global War... Count On It. Mannarino
Patrick Humphrey - I CANT BELIEVE what they JUST DID - PREPARE for SHTF NOW! | Patrick Humphrey Revealed- Who "They" are - that are causing all the ril derailments- food processing warehouise fires - and more about the safety workers in E Palestine, OH to clean up- THEY are now getting sick!
Greg Mannarino- CRITICAL ALERT: The System Has Been FULLY WEAPONIZED. Economic COLLAPSE And HYPERINFLATION. In 2023- Layoffs are up 500% - This is all by design - "They" want to kill the US economy by destroying the consumer! The Fed - says They MUST eliminate jobs - The More the better!
According to a new report from the jobs site Indeed, job openings in the US started to tumble for the first time in 2 years in February. This coincides with other major layoffs in the food service industry, including at McDonald's. This may be bad news for those looking for a job, but it could be g
************ END *************
More breaking news is posted on my Reddit EndUkrainianGenocideNow Community!
Join now to keep up with events – as they happen! - - - Patrick
Go here:
Stay tuned for the next issue!
Another source of news and commentary that I follow and recommend is the one authored/published by Elaine Supkis- The Culture of Life News—Highly recommended:
https://emsnews.wordpress.com/
Patrick
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Symbol Quantity I own Avg Price Remarks (may not be any remarks)
AOSL 10 59.93 Alpha & Omega Semiconductor Ltd = Semi stock
ASML 8 733.95 ASML Holding N.V. - semiconductor equipment systems - VERY LONG TERM HOLDING!
BABA 2 126.00 Alibaba Group Holding Ltd
BLDR 5 64.80 Builders FIrstSource, Inc
CORN 5 22.70 Teucrium Corn Fund
DBA 5 20.16 Invesco DB Agricultural Fund
DVN 5 51.00 Devon Energy Corporation (pays a Dividend)
ESTE 100 13.20 Earthstone Energy, Inc - VERY Volatile!!!
KRBN 5 51.70 KraneShares Global Carbon ETF - carbon Credits ETF
NVDA 12 312.83 Nvidia Corporation - volatile!
ON 13 70.08 ON Semiconductor Corporation = semi stock
PDCE 5 59.80 PDC Energy, Inc - energy
RJA 5 8.93 ELEMENTS-linked2Rogers Intl Commodity Index - Agricultural Total Return
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Patrick OConnell
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